Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.30
assuming max odds 1.89
assuming max odds 3.76
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 23.91%; Jeju United FC (Visit): 50.19%; Draw: 25.90%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.81%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV +2.81%E +0.654%K +0.852%G +0.024% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV +2.81%E +0.654%K +0.852%G +0.024% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV +0.420%E +0.100%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.83%EV -0.537%E -0.129%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.07%EV -6.65%E -3.57%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.10%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.34%EV -1.25%E -0.304%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.01%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.64%EV -2.61%E -0.694%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -1.97%E -0.481%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -11.17%E -6.31%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -3.17%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.36%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.36%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -5.56%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:27 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.75%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.75%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -6.75%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.75%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.75%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.95%E -2.06%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.14%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.14%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 10:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.14%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.34%E -2.76%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.54%E -3.12%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.54%E -3.12%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.54%E -3.12%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.54%E -3.12%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.54%E -3.12%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -11.54%E -3.12%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -11.67%E -6.63%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.81%EV -11.54%E -3.12%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.49%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -12.01%E -3.26%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.54%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -12.73%E -3.49%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -10.66%E -5.99%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.40%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.93%E -3.87%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -13.23%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -15.12%E -4.26%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -16.32%E -4.66%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -16.32%E -4.66%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.83%EV -17.51%E -5.08%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.40%EV -11.17%E -6.31%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -17.12%E -5.35%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.98% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28% | 1.5% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.78% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |