Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC v FC Seoul

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 10:30 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 2–5 FC Seoul

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prediction 12.83%7.80fair odd
EV +2.60%
Edge +0.325%
Kelly +0.372%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.71%12.83%12.73%14.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.256.966.758.0016.00%14.38%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Seoul (Visit)

Prediction 68.28%1.46fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -13.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.90%68.28%68.29%70.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.351.361.3977.52%74.19%73.53%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.89%5.29fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.462%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.42%18.89%18.98%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.634.605.4025.00%21.59%21.74%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 12.83%; FC Seoul (Visit): 68.28%; Draw: 18.89%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.80. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +2.60%E +0.325%K +0.372%G +0.010%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -0.802%E -0.153%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 10:24
LowVig.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV +0.037%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.19%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV +0.143%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV +0.037%E +0.005%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -1.75%E -0.336%K -0.416%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 10:25
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -0.605%E -0.078%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.09%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 10:20
1xBet🎯7.69I 13.00%NM 12.37%EV -1.37%E -0.179%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.45%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.18%EV -6.28%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV -2.53%E -0.333%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV +2.03%E +0.376%K +0.462%G +0.009%6.3%2026-08-30 10:25
Pinnacle🎯7.57I 13.21%NM 12.74%EV -2.91%E -0.385%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.39%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.86%EV +2.03%E +0.376%K +0.462%G +0.009%3.7%2026-08-30 10:29
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.27%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -0.802%E -0.153%K -0.189%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.25%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 10:09
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 10:29
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -11.92%E -9.24%K -41.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -5.53%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 10:25
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -3.81%E -0.508%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 10:29
Marathon Bet🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -5.09%E -0.688%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.43%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 10:29
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -7.02%E -0.968%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.53%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 10:25
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -0.802%E -0.153%K -0.189%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 10:29
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -5.53%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 10:20
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 10:20
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -10.22%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 10:25
Betsson🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.30%EV -12.79%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.47%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 10:25
NordicBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.30%EV -12.79%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.47%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -11.19%E -2.38%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 10:24
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.13%EV -4.58%E -0.907%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 10:28
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.23%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -20.64%E -4.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.59%EV -9.87%E -7.48%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.19%EV -12.14%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 10:25
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.06%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:10
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:09
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:09
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:10
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -13.43%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:09
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -7.41%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 10:29
LeoVegas🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:25
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:20
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 08:05
NetBet (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.28%EV -10.55%E -8.06%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -13.08%E -2.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 66.99%EV -10.55%E -8.06%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -14.97%E -3.33%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 10:24
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -16.64%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.23%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -22.53%E -5.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.43%EV -17.92%E -2.80%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.09%EV -9.87%E -7.48%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.48%EV -24.42%E -6.11%K -8.14%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-30 10:09
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -19.84%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.12%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -9.30%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.1%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.1%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.1%2026-08-30 10:25
Matchbook8.80I 11.36%NM 11.24%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.70%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%1.1%2026-08-30 10:25
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-08-30 10:20