Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC v FC Seoul

2026-08-30 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prediction 14.59%6.86fair odd
EV -11.02%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.55%14.59%14.59%14.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.066.106.1017.24%16.49%16.39%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Seoul (Visit)

Prediction 62.07%1.61fair odd
EV -9.99%
Edge -6.89%
Kelly -22.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.92%62.07%62.07%62.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4572.46%70.00%69.93%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.34%4.28fair odd
EV -10.14%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.15%23.34%23.34%23.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.793.803.8527.03%26.37%26.32%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gwangju FC (Local): 14.59%; FC Seoul (Visit): 62.07%; Draw: 23.34%. For FC Seoul (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.45, with an expected value of -9.99%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.72%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.95%EV -9.99%E -6.89%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -10.14%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 10:40
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.92%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.92%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.92%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:40
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:40
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:40
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:40
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.08%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -11.24%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 10:40
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.59%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.07%EV -12.48%E -8.85%K -30.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -12.48%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-23 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 14.77%EV -15.39%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.08%EV -14.34%E -10.39%K -37.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.15%EV -13.64%E -3.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-23 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 13.76%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-08-23 10:50