Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC v FC Anyang

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 10:00 UTC

Final: Gwangju FC 1–1 FC Anyang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gwangju FC (Local)

Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd
EV -0.390%
Edge -0.132%
Kelly -0.200%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.53%33.64%33.85%35.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.30%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Anyang (Visit)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.721%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.10%38.35%38.13%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.332.382.5748.08%42.84%42.02%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.04%3.57fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -0.738%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.20%28.00%28.02%28.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.203.5032.79%30.97%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 33.77%; FC Anyang (Visit): 38.19%; Draw: 28.04%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.390%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -0.390%E -0.132%K -0.200%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -16.75%E -7.68%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 09:31
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:36
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:36
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:35
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:36
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:35
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.64%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.14%EV -17.51%E -8.11%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -2.08%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -17.89%E -8.32%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 09:36
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -3.77%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -3.77%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.19%EV -19.04%E -8.98%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-13 09:35
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -5.12%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 09:56
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -5.12%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 09:51
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.46%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.65%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 09:46
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.46%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.65%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 09:56
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.46%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 09:46
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.64%EV -5.46%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.24%EV -20.57%E -9.89%K -19.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%EV -14.46%E -4.74%K -7.06%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-13 09:36
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.69%EV -5.79%E -2.08%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -1.85%E -0.721%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -1.84%E -0.527%K -0.738%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 09:56
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.40%EV -6.81%E -2.47%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.68%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.65%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.40%EV -6.81%E -2.47%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.68%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.65%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 09:50
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 09:51
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 09:45
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 09:46
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.86%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 09:51
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.37%EV -8.16%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 09:46
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.37%EV -8.16%E -3.00%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -11.66%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 09:46
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.65%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 09:46
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 09:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.86%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 09:56
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -14.07%E -6.25%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 09:45
Bovada🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.55%EV -9.84%E -3.69%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.50%EV -6.05%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 09:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.45%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 09:46
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 09:51
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -10.52%E -3.97%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 09:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.20%E -4.26%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 09:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.20%E -4.26%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 09:46
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -11.20%E -4.26%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -11.20%E -4.26%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.93%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 09:45
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.86%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.34%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 09:50
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.49%E -4.00%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.49%E -4.00%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -12.21%E -4.70%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -8.86%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 09:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -12.21%E -4.70%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.87%EV -11.40%E -4.91%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.06%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 09:51
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -10.26%E -3.21%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-09-13 09:56
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-09-13 09:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-09-13 09:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.71%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23%1.2%2026-09-13 09:56
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.71%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-09-13 09:56
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-09-13 09:51