Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC v Jeju United FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC (Local)

Prediction 54.28%1.84fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.81%54.30%54.22%56.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.691.701.7766.67%59.19%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeju United FC (Visit)

Prediction 18.65%5.36fair odd
EV +9.87%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.199%

assuming max odds 5.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.36%18.64%18.76%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.794.805.8923.26%20.86%20.83%16.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.07%3.69fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.708%
Kelly -0.980%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.94%27.06%27.03%28.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.333.303.6032.79%30.03%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gangwon FC (Local): 54.28%; Jeju United FC (Visit): 18.65%; Draw: 27.07%. For Jeju United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.35%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.36%EV +9.87%E +1.68%K +2.02%G +0.199%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.30%EV -4.44%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 06:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.28%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +2.59%E +0.471%K +0.576%G +0.015%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 06:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.28%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV +2.59%E +0.471%K +0.576%G +0.015%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.33%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 06:45
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -9.90%E -5.96%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV +2.59%E +0.471%K +0.576%G +0.015%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 06:50
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.64%EV -9.90%E -5.96%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV +2.59%E +0.471%K +0.576%G +0.015%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 06:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.48%EV -8.81%E -5.25%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +0.726%E +0.134%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.42%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 06:44
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.08%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.54%EV -0.393%E -0.074%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -7.42%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 06:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -1.14%E -0.215%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 06:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 06:39
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 06:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 06:49
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 06:40
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -8.27%E -4.89%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 06:34
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 06:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -13.38%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 06:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -13.38%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 06:44
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -12.07%E -7.45%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 06:49
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -12.07%E -7.45%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -13.38%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-22 06:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.81%EV -18.58%E -12.39%K -37.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.74%EV -6.74%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.45%EV -17.44%E -5.72%K -8.51%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-22 06:49
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.94%EV -9.53%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 06:35
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.94%EV -9.53%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 06:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -7.19%E -4.20%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -10.47%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.980%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 06:25
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -9.36%E -5.60%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.47%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 06:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -9.36%E -5.60%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.47%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 06:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -9.36%E -5.60%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -10.47%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 06:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -11.40%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 06:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.57%EV -14.78%E -9.42%K -25.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%EV -12.33%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -14.73%E -4.68%K -6.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 06:48
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.52%EV -12.61%E -7.83%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -13.26%E -2.85%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 06:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -8.81%E -5.25%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.20%E -3.09%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 06:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.36%E -5.60%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -14.20%E -3.09%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.86%EV -11.53%E -7.07%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.29%EV -15.13%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -11.48%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 06:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.77%EV -11.53%E -7.07%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.26%EV -15.13%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 06:39
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -7.73%E -4.55%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -16.06%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.38%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 06:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -3.93%E -2.22%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -17.93%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 06:54
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.01%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -17.93%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.01%E -2.87%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -17.93%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 06:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.70%EV -10.99%E -6.70%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -17.93%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 06:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.18%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 06:54
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.18%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 06:54
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.18%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 06:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.18%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 06:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.18%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 06:54
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.18%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 06:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.18%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 06:54
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.81%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 06:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.81%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 06:44
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.81%EV -6.10%E -3.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.61%EV -18.86%E -4.34%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 06:45
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.64%E -3.86%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -19.79%E -4.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 06:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-22 06:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-22 06:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-22 06:45
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-22 06:54
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.49%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.15%3.2%2026-03-22 06:55
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%4.5%2026-03-22 06:45