Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC v Incheon United

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 10:00 UTC

Final: Gangwon FC 0–0 Incheon United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC (Local)

Prediction 41.90%2.39fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.32%41.87%41.91%43.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.192.202.3050.25%45.76%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Incheon United (Visit)

Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.076%
Kelly -0.106%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.67%27.60%29.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.223.203.6133.90%31.02%31.25%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%30.46%30.49%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.903.1735.71%33.88%34.48%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gangwon FC (Local): 41.90%; Incheon United (Visit): 27.62%; Draw: 30.47%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.61, with an expected value of -0.276%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 09:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 09:05
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.65%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -0.276%E -0.076%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -3.40%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.70%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.53%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 09:33
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.53%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 09:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-27 09:20
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 09:20
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.90%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -6.35%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.54%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.40%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -10.10%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 10:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.53%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-27 09:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-27 09:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.46%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-27 09:53
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-27 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-27 09:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-27 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.10%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 09:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-27 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-27 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-27 09:05
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-27 09:05
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:10
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:10
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:09
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:09
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.32%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.46%EV -8.23%E -3.76%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.19%EV -6.14%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-27 09:55
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -8.65%E -3.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.10%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-27 09:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -8.65%E -3.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.10%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-27 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.54%EV -8.65%E -3.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -15.75%E -5.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-27 09:24
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.552%E -0.153%K -0.212%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-27 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.53%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-27 09:40
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.22%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -10.10%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-27 09:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.84%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.68%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-27 09:45
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.47%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -17.13%E -5.71%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -13.15%E -4.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-27 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.39%EV -11.17%E -5.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.03%EV -18.51%E -6.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.58%EV -14.68%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -0.552%E -0.153%K -0.212%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-27 09:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.31%E -0.947%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-27 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-27 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-27 04:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.88%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.60%E -3.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.64%EV -12.54%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-27 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.17%EV -12.84%E -6.17%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.58%EV -12.15%E -3.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-27 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 42.92%EV -16.61%E -8.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.11%EV -12.98%E -4.12%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.97%EV -13.15%E -4.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-27 09:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-09-27 09:55
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-09-27 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-09-27 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-09-27 09:55
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-09-27 09:55
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%2.0%2026-09-27 09:55