Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC v Incheon United

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 07:30 UTC

Final: Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC (Local)

Prediction 39.75%2.52fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.00%39.73%39.77%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.272.252.4750.00%44.00%44.44%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Incheon United (Visit)

Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.416%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.75%28.30%28.37%29.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.103.5634.48%31.66%32.26%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.86%3.14fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%31.96%31.86%33.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.742.882.883.0136.50%34.75%34.66%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gangwon FC (Local): 39.75%; Incheon United (Visit): 28.39%; Draw: 31.86%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.15%EV -1.81%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV +1.06%E +0.299%K +0.416%G +0.004%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.69%EV -8.57%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 07:20
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.30%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.639%E -0.183%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.56%EV -4.11%E -1.37%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 07:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.52%EV -2.20%E -0.896%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.60%EV -10.16%E -3.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 07:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.52%EV -2.20%E -0.896%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.60%EV -10.16%E -3.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 07:20
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 07:20
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.13%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.71%EV -12.71%E -4.64%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 06:55
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 07:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.75%EV -6.97%E -2.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.07%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 07:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 07:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 07:25
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 06:34
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 07:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 07:05
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 07:20
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 07:25
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -9.36%E -4.11%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 07:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 06:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 07:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.39%E -4.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-18 07:15
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 07:25
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 07:29
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 07:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.57%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.57%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 07:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.56%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.39%E -4.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-18 07:05
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 07:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.42%EV -13.73%E -6.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -12.56%E -4.08%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.10%EV -10.16%E -3.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-18 07:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -11.35%E -5.09%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 07:35
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:34
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:35
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:34
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:35
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 07:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.54%EV -11.75%E -5.29%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.41%E -4.40%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.69%EV -11.76%E -4.24%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-18 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-11 07:34
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-18 07:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -12.39%E -4.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%19.7%2026-10-18 07:24
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.16%EV -14.13%E -6.54%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.40%EV -16.25%E -5.51%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.44%EV -9.21%E -3.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-18 06:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.19%EV -15.72%E -7.42%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.38%EV -17.67%E -6.09%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-11 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%0.7%2026-10-18 07:10
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-10-18 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-10-18 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-10-18 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-10-18 07:25
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-10-18 07:25