Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC v Gwangju FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gangwon FC (Local)

Prediction 58.07%1.72fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.78%57.87%58.23%59.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.57%62.31%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwangju FC (Visit)

Prediction 16.33%6.12fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.334%
Kelly +0.398%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.05%16.43%16.20%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.405.256.2520.83%18.50%19.05%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -0.789%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%25.70%25.57%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.8230.77%28.69%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gangwon FC (Local): 58.07%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 16.33%; Draw: 25.60%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +2.09%E +0.334%K +0.398%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 07:20
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.18%E -2.54%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.35%EV +1.11%E +0.179%K +0.214%G +0.002%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.07%EV -10.16%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 07:25
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.81%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.94%EV -1.18%E -0.195%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.25%EV -2.23%E -0.582%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.65%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -2.74%E -0.720%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 07:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.65%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.03%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -2.74%E -0.720%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 07:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 07:19
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 07:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 04:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -1.99%E -0.332%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 07:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.67%E -4.82%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -5.26%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 07:14
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 07:15
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 07:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 07:14
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.35%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:12
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 07:19
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -11.15%E -7.29%K -21.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 07:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.85%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -6.89%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 07:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.85%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -6.89%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 07:14
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 04:39
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.16%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.27%EV -9.41%E -6.03%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -11.79%E -2.18%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 07:15
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -14.24%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -14.24%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 06:44
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -14.24%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 06:45
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -14.24%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 06:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.99%E -6.45%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -14.24%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 06:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.46%EV -12.89%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.42%EV -14.24%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.53%E -4.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 07:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -12.89%E -8.60%K -25.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.48%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -16.81%E -5.17%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 07:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 57.47%EV -14.06%E -9.50%K -29.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.36%EV -15.06%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.17%EV -16.81%E -5.17%K -7.47%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-04 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -2.44%E -1.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.06%EV -16.69%E -3.27%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.52%EV -11.73%E -7.72%K -22.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -16.69%E -3.27%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -11.70%E -3.39%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 07:15
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -3.60%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 07:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -3.60%E -2.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 07:00
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.83%E -5.62%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.33%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 07:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 07:01
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -19.96%E -4.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -14.25%E -4.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 07:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -21.59%E -4.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -16.81%E -5.17%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 07:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-04 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-04 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-04 07:20
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-04 07:15
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%2.0%2026-04-04 07:25
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.67%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%4.1%2026-04-04 07:25