La scuola delle quote

Gangwon FC v Daejeon Citizen

Inizio: 2026-05-12 10:30 UTC

Finale: Gangwon FC 2–0 Daejeon Citizen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Gangwon FC (Casa)

Previsione 40.50%2.47quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.67%40.48%40.52%42.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.062.222.252.4048.54%44.98%44.44%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daejeon Citizen (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.35%3.41quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -0.592%
Kelly -0.844%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.62%29.35%29.30%31.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.143.203.3434.48%31.84%31.25%29.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.15%3.32quota equa
EV -3.51%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.03%30.16%30.18%31.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.043.103.2035.71%32.94%32.26%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 09:54
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 09:59
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-12 10:24
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 10:20
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.83%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 10:14
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.83%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 10:19
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.83%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 10:19
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.57%EV -6.45%E -2.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.20%EV -5.79%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 10:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 09:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 10:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 10:20
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 10:04
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 10:14
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 10:19
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 10:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 09:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 10:19
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 10:24
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 10:20
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -7.26%E -3.17%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 10:14
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 09:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 09:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 10:00
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-12 10:19
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.90%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -9.90%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:07
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.90%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-12 10:14
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -10.90%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -15.57%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-12 10:20
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 42.73%EV -12.52%E -5.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -5.02%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 09:34
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.93%E -6.01%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-12 10:00
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -14.14%E -6.67%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -14.14%E -6.67%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 09:35
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -14.14%E -6.67%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 09:35
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:34
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:34
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:35
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:35
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:35
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:34
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:35
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:34
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:34
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 09:34
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 09:35
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-12 10:04
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -14.06%E -4.93%K -7.60%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-12 10:00
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -16.57%E -8.05%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-12 09:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-05-12 10:15
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-05-12 09:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-12 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-05-12 10:14
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47%2.5%2026-05-12 10:10