La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gangwon FC v Daejeon Citizen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gangwon FC (Local)
Predicción 40.50%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.67%40.48%40.52%42.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.062.222.252.4048.54%44.98%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daejeon Citizen (Visitante)
Predicción 29.35%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -0.844%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.62%29.35%29.30%31.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.143.203.3434.48%31.84%31.25%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.15%3.32momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.03%30.16%30.18%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.103.2035.71%32.94%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 09:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.98%EV -1.98%E -0.592%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.83%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -4.83%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.83%E -2.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.57%EV -6.45%E -2.79%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.20%EV -5.79%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.51%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 10:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 10:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.89%E -5.13%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -7.26%E -3.17%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -7.66%E -3.36%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 09:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 09:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.90%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.16%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.90%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -9.90%E -3.22%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 10:07 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.90%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -10.90%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -15.57%E -5.56%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.73%EV -12.52%E -5.80%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -5.02%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.93%E -6.01%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -11.05%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-12 10:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.99%EV -14.14%E -6.67%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -14.14%E -6.67%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -14.14%E -6.67%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:34 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -2.10%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-12 09:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -8.03%E -2.63%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 09:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.25%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.87%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-12 10:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -14.06%E -4.93%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-12 10:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -16.57%E -8.05%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.54%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-12 09:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.47% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 10:10 |