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FC Seoul v Sangju Sangmu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Seoul (Local)
Prediction 66.98%1.49fair odd
EV -0.867%
Edge -0.586%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.05%67.07%66.93%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.341.361.4881.97%74.47%73.53%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)
Prediction 13.62%7.34fair odd
EV +5.53%
Edge +0.713%
Kelly +0.819%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 7.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.72%13.61%13.58%15.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.867.007.7518.18%14.59%14.29%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.40%5.15fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.79%19.32%19.50%21.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.744.755.0323.53%21.12%21.05%19.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 66.98%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 13.62%; Draw: 19.40%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.34. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.09%EV -7.57%E -5.48%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV +5.53%E +0.713%K +0.819%G +0.045% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -7.84%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 07:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.15%EV -5.56%E -3.94%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 7.54I 13.26%NM 12.74%EV +2.67%E +0.354%K +0.408%G +0.011% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.10%EV -2.41%E -0.479%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -8.24%E -6.01%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.84%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -13.59%E -10.54%K -46.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.00%EV -14.93%E -11.76%K -55.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -4.93%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.33%EV -16.27%E -13.02%K -65.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV +2.12%E +0.283%K +0.326%G +0.007% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -4.93%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -11.58%E -8.78%K -36.20%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -1.96%E -0.273%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 06:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -4.89%E -3.44%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -4.69%E -0.670%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.93%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.22%E -2.95%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -4.69%E -0.670%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -7.84%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -4.69%E -0.670%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.93%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 07:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -4.69%E -0.670%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.93%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 07:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.57%E -5.48%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.69%E -0.670%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.99%E -0.598%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -7.57%E -5.48%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -4.69%E -0.670%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -6.87%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.57%E -7.09%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -4.69%E -0.670%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -10.75%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.01%EV -18.28%E -14.99%K -83.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.20%EV -4.69%E -0.670%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -6.87%E -1.43%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -7.57%E -5.48%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.67%EV -7.41%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -4.93%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 07:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -8.09%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.75%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.61%EV -7.57%E -5.48%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -8.09%E -1.20%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77%EV -9.78%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 07:27 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.27%EV -0.867%E -0.586%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.09%EV -12.50%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 07:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.84%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.84%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.75%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 07:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.23%E -4.45%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.75%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.90%E -6.55%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -15.99%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.90%E -6.55%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -15.99%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.90%E -6.55%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -15.99%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.90%E -6.55%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -15.99%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.91%E -8.21%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.69%E -2.82%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-18 07:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.91%E -8.21%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -11.49%E -1.77%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -12.69%E -2.82%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-18 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.14%EV -8.24%E -6.01%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.16%EV -12.86%E -2.01%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -10.75%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.14%EV -8.24%E -6.01%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.16%EV -12.86%E -2.01%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -10.75%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.69%EV -11.58%E -8.78%K -36.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -12.86%E -2.01%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -12.69%E -2.82%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-18 07:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -10.91%E -8.21%K -33.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -14.90%E -2.38%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -12.69%E -2.82%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-18 07:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -7.57%E -5.48%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -18.30%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -4.93%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 07:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -7.57%E -5.48%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.30%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.75%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.45%EV -10.24%E -7.65%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -18.30%E -3.05%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -14.63%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-18 07:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -8.90%E -6.55%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -19.66%E -3.33%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -8.81%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.71%EV -14.26%E -11.14%K -50.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 14.50%EV -21.03%E -3.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 19.79%EV -17.54%E -4.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -8.90%E -6.55%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -25.11%E -4.57%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.99%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 07:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.02% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 07:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-10-18 07:20 |