Language:English
FC Seoul v Gwangju FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Seoul (Local)
Prediction 64.78%1.54fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +2.99%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.68%64.38%64.69%67.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.441.431.5779.37%69.33%69.93%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gwangju FC (Visit)
Prediction 13.22%7.57fair odd
EV +5.74%
Edge +0.718%
Kelly +0.821%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.45%13.41%13.31%16.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.476.508.0018.18%15.45%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.00%4.55fair odd
EV -0.778%
Edge -0.173%
Kelly -0.222%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.16%22.21%22.00%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.974.004.5127.40%25.19%25.00%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 64.78%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 13.22%; Draw: 22.00%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV +1.71%E +1.09%K +2.99%G +0.051% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -17.50%E -4.67%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV +1.06%E +0.679%K +1.89%G +0.020% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -25.98%E -4.64%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -17.50%E -4.67%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -0.236%E -0.153%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -18.60%E -5.03%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -0.236%E -0.153%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -18.60%E -5.03%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.07%EV -1.53%E -1.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.07%EV -1.53%E -1.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.07%EV -1.53%E -1.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -2.18%E -1.44%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -2.18%E -1.44%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -2.18%E -1.44%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -2.18%E -1.44%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -2.18%E -1.44%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -2.18%E -1.44%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -2.18%E -1.44%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.23%EV -2.18%E -1.44%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -27.30%E -4.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -19.70%E -5.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.20%EV -4.12%E -2.79%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV -3.51%E -0.481%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.79%EV -8.26%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.53%EV -4.12%E -2.79%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.17%E -0.575%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -4.77%E -3.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.47%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.51%EV -5.42%E -3.71%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.865%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -3.20%E -0.727%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.51%EV -5.42%E -3.71%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.75%EV -0.865%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -3.20%E -0.727%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.30%EV -6.07%E -4.18%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.76I 12.89%NM 12.39%EV +2.57%E +0.331%K +0.380%G +0.010% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -0.778%E -0.173%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -6.07%E -4.18%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -7.47%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.64%EV -6.07%E -4.18%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.78%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -16.40%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -6.71%E -4.66%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.47%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.98%EV -7.36%E -5.15%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -0.865%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -3.20%E -0.727%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.18%EV -7.36%E -5.15%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.70%EV -11.44%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -8.70%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.18%EV -7.36%E -5.15%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.70%EV -11.44%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -8.70%E -2.10%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.36%E -5.15%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -14.08%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -7.36%E -5.15%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -17.39%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -8.01%E -5.64%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -2.19%E -0.296%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 04:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -8.01%E -5.64%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -7.47%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 04:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.01%E -5.64%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -4.17%E -0.575%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -9.31%E -6.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -0.865%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.31%E -6.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.47%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.31%E -6.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -7.47%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.31%E -6.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -14.08%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.31%E -6.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -14.08%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.31%E -6.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -14.08%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.31%E -6.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -14.08%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.17%EV -9.95%E -7.16%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.88%EV -22.01%E -3.73%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-22 04:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.01%EV -11.25%E -8.21%K -30.40%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.15%EV -19.37%E -3.18%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 22.84%EV -16.84%E -4.45%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-22 04:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -11.90%E -8.75%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV +5.74%E +0.718%K +0.821%G +0.047% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -4.74%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -11.90%E -8.75%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -0.865%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -7.60%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 04:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.18%EV -11.90%E -8.75%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -7.47%E -1.07%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-22 04:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.55%EV -11.90%E -8.75%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -14.08%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.00%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.91%EV -11.90%E -8.75%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.80%EV -16.73%E -2.66%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 63.75%EV -13.19%E -9.85%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 13.89%EV -18.71%E -3.04%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 22.36%EV -15.96%E -4.18%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-22 04:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 64.87%EV -14.49%E -10.98%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.17%EV -14.08%E -2.17%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.96%EV -14.20%E -3.64%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.87%EV -18.38%E -14.58%K -70.67%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.29%EV -10.78%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.84%EV -16.40%E -4.32%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.39% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.87% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.59% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.59% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.59% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 04:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.59% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 04:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.57% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 2.1% | 2026-03-22 04:55 |