The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

FC Seoul v Gangwon FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 05:00 UTC

Final: FC Seoul 1–1 Gangwon FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Seoul (Local)

Prediction 49.92%2.00fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -6.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.69%50.00%49.79%52.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.831.831.8859.88%54.76%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gangwon FC (Visit)

Prediction 23.45%4.27fair odd
EV +0.818%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.248%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.18%23.34%23.48%24.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.804.3027.78%25.84%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -0.842%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.07%26.66%26.74%27.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.303.6731.75%29.75%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 49.92%; Gangwon FC (Visit): 23.45%; Draw: 26.64%. For Gangwon FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.818%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -12.64%E -7.22%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV +0.818%E +0.190%K +0.248%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 04:55
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.13%EV -6.15%E -3.27%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.67%EV -0.589%E -0.139%K -0.182%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.19%EV -2.25%E -0.612%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 04:50
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.53%E -0.364%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 04:39
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.87%E -0.944%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 04:00
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.87%E -0.944%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 04:05
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.92%EV -9.65%E -5.33%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -5.04%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 04:54
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -6.15%E -3.27%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 04:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.15%E -3.27%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 04:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.24%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 04:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 04:05
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 04:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 04:00
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 04:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -6.22%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 04:34
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.43%EV -6.45%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.56%EV -6.24%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 04:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 04:15
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.34%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -10.77%E -3.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 04:15
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.34%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -10.77%E -3.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 04:14
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -8.56%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -14.77%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 04:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 04:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.15%E -5.03%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 04:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.91%E -2.87%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.15%E -4.43%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.78%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 04:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 04:45
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.77%E -3.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 04:30
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:45
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:45
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:45
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:45
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:44
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 04:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.45%EV -11.15%E -6.26%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -12.08%E -3.22%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-24 04:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.61%EV -11.64%E -6.58%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.54%EV -12.55%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.85%EV -12.90%E -3.95%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 04:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.33%EV -9.15%E -5.03%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -13.25%E -3.58%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -9.15%E -5.03%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.25%E -3.58%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 04:45
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.79%EV -10.65%E -5.95%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.92%EV -14.42%E -3.95%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -14.77%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-24 04:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -10.15%E -5.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-24 04:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.84%EV -12.14%E -6.90%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -16.10%E -5.11%K -7.49%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-24 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 50.36%EV -16.64%E -9.96%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -15.59%E -4.33%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -14.77%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-24 04:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-10-24 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-10-24 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-10-24 04:55
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-10-24 04:40
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-10-24 04:55
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%3.7%2026-10-24 04:55