Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Seoul v FC Anyang

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 10:00 UTC

Final: FC Seoul 0–0 FC Anyang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Seoul (Local)

Prediction 54.98%1.82fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.883%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.39%54.92%54.88%56.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.691.691.7964.52%59.14%59.17%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Anyang (Visit)

Prediction 19.55%5.12fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.265%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.39%19.57%19.72%21.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.574.505.0623.81%21.90%22.22%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.47%3.93fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.467%
Kelly +0.623%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.51%25.39%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.504.0031.25%28.63%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Seoul (Local): 54.98%; FC Anyang (Visit): 19.55%; Draw: 25.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +1.87%E +0.467%K +0.623%G +0.012%4.9%2026-05-05 09:04
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.04%EV -1.08%E -0.213%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.96%EV -1.70%E -0.439%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-05 09:15
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.78%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.25%E -0.450%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 09:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.91%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -2.25%E -0.450%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 09:05
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.69%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.20%E -0.858%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -8.73%E -5.26%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.25%E -0.450%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -10.93%E -6.75%K -17.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -2.25%E -0.450%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.83%E -5.99%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -10.07%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 08:30
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.31%EV -5.18%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.59%EV -6.79%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 09:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -7.63%E -4.54%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.20%E -0.858%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.79%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 09:05
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -7.63%E -4.54%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 09:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.28%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.04%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 09:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 08:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.43%E -3.16%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 09:09
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -2.25%E -0.450%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 08:44
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.08%E -4.19%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -6.16%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.02%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75%EV -9.09%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 08:29
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.02%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.75%EV -9.09%E -1.96%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 08:35
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.07%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 09:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 09:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-05 09:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.63%E -4.54%K -11.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-05 09:09
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -10.93%E -6.75%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -7.14%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-05 09:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.93%E -6.75%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -15.35%E -3.54%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 09:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.67%EV -12.03%E -7.52%K -20.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -15.93%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -10.86%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-05 08:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 07:15
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 07:14
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 07:14
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -10.93%E -6.75%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -10.07%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-05 09:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -12.03%E -7.52%K -20.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.02%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-05 08:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.30%EV -14.78%E -9.53%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.48%EV -13.98%E -3.18%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -13.41%E -3.94%K -5.59%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-05 09:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.21%EV -10.93%E -6.75%K -17.63%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.73%EV -13.00%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.06%EV -14.17%E -4.21%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-05 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.39%EV -1.58%E -0.883%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -14.96%E -3.44%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -14.68%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -15.93%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -14.68%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -3.23%E -1.84%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -15.93%E -3.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -14.68%E -4.38%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-30 23:58
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-01 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.63%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.14%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -15.96%E -4.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.56%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -16.91%E -3.98%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -17.23%E -5.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-30 23:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.51%EV -5.98%E -3.50%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -17.89%E -4.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -18.50%E -5.78%K -8.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-05 09:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-05-05 09:09
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.56%1.6%2026-05-05 09:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.35%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.2%2026-05-05 09:05