Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Anyang v Sangju Sangmu FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 10:30 UTC

Final: FC Anyang 2–2 Sangju Sangmu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Anyang (Local)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.37%43.04%43.00%44.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.162.152.2850.76%46.39%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.492%
Kelly +0.682%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.41%28.38%28.44%31.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.153.133.6035.09%31.79%32.00%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.60%3.50fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%28.58%28.56%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.183.153.4033.67%31.47%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Anyang (Local): 43.13%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 28.27%; Draw: 28.60%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.43%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV +1.77%E +0.492%K +0.682%G +0.012%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -6.78%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 10:25
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.38%EV -0.207%E -0.059%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.68%EV -3.63%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -2.47%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -2.47%E -0.715%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 09:35
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.50%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.50%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.35%E -2.27%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 10:26
Bovada🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.68%EV -8.99%E -4.26%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.50%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 10:24
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 10:01
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.50%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 09:55
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 09:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 10:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 10:00
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 09:35
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.12%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.50%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 09:35
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 10:00
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.21%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-13 10:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.95%E -3.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 10:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.11%EV -14.59%E -7.37%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -10.95%E -3.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-13 10:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-13 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 09:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 09:30
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.42%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 09:31
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.36%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-13 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.50%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 09:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.57%E -5.65%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-13 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.31%EV -15.02%E -7.63%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.97%EV -13.78%E -4.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.72%EV -15.07%E -5.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-13 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.65%E -0.725%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 10:49
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -16.60%E -5.63%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.50%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -16.60%E -5.63%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.50%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 10:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:45
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:45
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:49
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 10:49
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -18.58%E -6.45%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-06 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -19.43%E -6.82%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 10:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-05-13 10:06
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-13 10:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-13 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-13 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-05-13 10:26
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-05-13 10:26