Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Anyang v Daejeon Citizen

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Final: FC Anyang 1–2 Daejeon Citizen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Anyang (Local)

Prediction 24.00%4.17fair odd
EV +0.814%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.254%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%24.13%24.08%27.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.763.754.2030.77%26.61%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daejeon Citizen (Visit)

Prediction 48.85%2.05fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.97%48.75%48.82%50.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.891.9556.50%53.24%52.91%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.456%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%27.12%27.10%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.303.6431.25%29.95%30.30%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Anyang (Local): 24.00%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 48.85%; Draw: 27.14%. For FC Anyang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.814%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV +0.814%E +0.194%K +0.254%G +0.002%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.96%EV -5.71%E -2.96%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.08%EV -3.38%E -0.948%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 10:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -1.59%E -0.387%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -1.59%E -0.387%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 10:59
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -1.59%E -0.387%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 10:45
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 10:49
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -8.15%E -4.34%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 10:59
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:53
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.64%E -4.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 10:49
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -3.99%E -0.997%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.66%E -4.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.18%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:59
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -5.19%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.56%EV -9.13%E -4.91%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 10:54
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.39%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.39%E -1.64%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.72%EV -5.71%E -2.96%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 10:50
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.59%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.40%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.00%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.71%E -2.96%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 10:45
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -12.06%E -6.70%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -12.06%E -6.70%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -12.06%E -6.70%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 10:54
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -12.06%E -6.70%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 10:54
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.60%E -5.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 10:45
1xBet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -9.75%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -1.20%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 10:59
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:49
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 10:46
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 10:46
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.99%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 23.95%EV -10.47%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.11%E -5.49%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.15%E -4.34%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -11.19%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.94%EV -11.08%E -6.09%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -12.39%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -12.39%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -8.15%E -4.34%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.36%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:45
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -12.39%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.07%EV -13.53%E -7.64%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-08 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -13.59%E -3.77%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.43%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -9.13%E -4.91%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.17%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.17%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.17%EV -7.18%E -3.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:40
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -7.66%E -4.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:40
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -7.66%E -4.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -7.66%E -4.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -7.66%E -4.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:40
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -7.66%E -4.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:40
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -7.66%E -4.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.31%EV -7.66%E -4.06%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:40
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -14.79%E -4.17%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.44%EV -8.15%E -4.34%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -15.99%E -4.57%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 10:40
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -21.99%E -6.77%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -6.69%E -3.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 10:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-08-08 10:55

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