Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 10:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prediction 42.32%2.36fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.15%42.25%42.41%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.2848.78%45.66%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)

Prediction 31.42%3.18fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.64%31.48%31.27%33.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.823.1238.46%35.30%35.46%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -0.846%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.27%26.32%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.7232.26%29.51%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 42.32%; Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit): 31.42%; Draw: 26.26%. For Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.12, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.02%EV -1.97%E -0.633%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-26 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -13.60%E -4.95%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -14.64%E -4.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-26 10:19
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.24%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.55%EV -2.30%E -0.619%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 10:24
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.46%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 10:04
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-26 09:39
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -5.63%E -2.52%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-26 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.15%EV -5.63%E -2.52%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.57%EV -18.31%E -7.04%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -15.96%E -4.99%K -7.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-26 08:19
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 10:24
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.32%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 10:13
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 10:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 09:49
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.51%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 09:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-26 10:24
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.60%E -4.95%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-26 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.60%E -4.95%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-26 10:05
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.60%E -4.95%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-26 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.60%E -4.95%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-26 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.71%EV -8.59%E -3.98%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.62%EV -17.37%E -6.60%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.67%EV -18.58%E -5.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-26 10:19
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 10:24
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.74%E -1.91%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-26 10:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -10.46%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.77%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-26 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.46%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-26 09:49
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 10:24
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.89%E -3.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 10:24
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -10.46%E -3.67%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-26 10:24
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 10:14
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.71%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-26 10:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -9.44%E -4.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -5.12%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 10:24
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -9.86%E -4.63%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -4.17%E -1.37%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 10:23
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-26 10:24
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.17%E -5.62%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-26 10:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.02%EV -12.40%E -5.99%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.39%EV -7.94%E -2.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-26 10:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.52%EV -12.40%E -5.99%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.21%EV -11.40%E -4.04%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-26 10:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -13.25%E -6.46%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.60%E -0.840%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 10:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.25%E -6.46%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -12.03%E -4.30%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -12.02%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-26 10:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-26 10:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-26 10:24
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-26 10:24
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-08-26 10:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-26 10:24
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.90%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%2.6%2026-08-26 10:24