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Daejeon Citizen v Sangju Sangmu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 43.82%2.28fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.47%43.87%43.76%44.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.092.102.1852.63%47.77%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV -0.916%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.366%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.31%28.39%29.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.153.5033.33%31.29%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.700%
Kelly -0.980%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.94%27.82%27.84%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.243.253.5033.90%30.87%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 43.82%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 28.31%; Draw: 27.87%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.916%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -4.47%E -2.05%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -1.77%E -0.509%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -2.73%E -0.782%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -5.35%E -2.48%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -0.916%E -0.262%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -5.35%E -2.48%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -0.916%E -0.262%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 07:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.79%E -2.69%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 07:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -6.23%E -2.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-09 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -6.23%E -2.91%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-09 09:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.98%EV -6.67%E -3.13%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -6.91%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -2.45%E -0.700%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.01%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.91%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -7.10%E -3.35%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -7.98%E -3.80%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.17%E -4.96%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -15.07%E -5.02%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.36%E -6.18%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.60%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.51%EV -13.24%E -6.69%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.43%EV -14.22%E -4.69%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.06%EV -14.44%E -4.70%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-14 07:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.26%EV -15.43%E -7.99%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 27.73%EV -14.16%E -4.60%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.11%EV -16.74%E -8.81%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.41%EV -17.78%E -6.03%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 07:20 |