L’École des cotes

Daejeon Citizen v Jeju United FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 10:30 UTC

Score final : Daejeon Citizen 0–1 Jeju United FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prévision 54.29%1.84cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +2.36%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.78%53.97%54.16%55.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.741.701.8863.69%57.60%58.82%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jeju United FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.20%5.21cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.329%
Kelly +0.406%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.82%19.38%19.25%22.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.524.605.3025.97%22.14%21.74%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.51%3.77cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.592%
Kelly -0.813%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.90%26.65%26.59%28.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.353.6932.26%29.75%29.85%27.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV +2.07%E +1.10%K +2.36%G +0.049%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV +0.445%E +0.241%K +0.524%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 10:15
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV +0.445%E +0.241%K +0.524%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 10:15
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -0.097%E -0.053%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 10:14
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -0.097%E -0.053%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 10:14
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -0.097%E -0.053%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 10:15
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 10:14
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 10:15
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 10:14
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 10:14
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 10:15
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 10:14
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 10:15
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -25.13%E -6.44%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -16.50%E -5.24%K -7.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 10:14
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.82%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -26.09%E -6.78%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-22 10:15
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:50
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.18%EV -4.97%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 10:19
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.22%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -0.174%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -2.19%E -0.592%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 10:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 09:54
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 10:05
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 10:19
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 09:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 10:04
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.61%E -3.84%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 10:19
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.75%E +0.329%K +0.406%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 09:55
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.75%E +0.329%K +0.406%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 09:54
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -3.05%E -0.605%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 10:19
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 10:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 10:19
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 10:04
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 10:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 10:04
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 10:05
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 10:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 10:05
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -5.93%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 10:04
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.93%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 10:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 10:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.45%EV -10.96%E -6.68%K -17.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -17.45%E -4.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 10:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 09:55
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.59%EV -12.59%E -7.82%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.61%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.80%EV -14.64%E -4.55%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-22 10:08
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.45%EV -13.13%E -8.21%K -21.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.15%EV -12.65%E -2.78%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-22 10:04
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -14.76%E -9.40%K -25.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 10:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-04-22 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-04-22 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-04-22 10:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-04-22 10:15
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.82%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-04-22 10:10
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.44%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%3.2%2026-04-22 09:55