La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Daejeon Citizen v Jeju United FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Predicción 54.29%1.84momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +2.36%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.78%53.97%54.16%55.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.741.701.8863.69%57.60%58.82%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jeju United FC (Visitante)
Predicción 19.20%5.21momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.329%
Kelly +0.406%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.82%19.38%19.25%22.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.524.605.3025.97%22.14%21.74%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.51%3.77momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -0.813%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.90%26.65%26.59%28.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.353.6932.26%29.75%29.85%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV +2.07%E +1.10%K +2.36%G +0.049% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV +0.445%E +0.241%K +0.524%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV +0.445%E +0.241%K +0.524%G +0.002% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -23.21%E -5.80%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -0.097%E -0.053%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -0.097%E -0.053%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.00%EV -0.097%E -0.053%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.14%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -24.17%E -6.12%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -0.640%E -0.350%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -25.13%E -6.44%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -16.50%E -5.24%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.82%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -26.09%E -6.78%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -3.90%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 09:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.18%EV -4.97%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.22%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%EV -0.174%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV -2.19%E -0.592%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 09:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.53%E -3.18%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.49%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 09:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.61%E -3.84%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.75%E +0.329%K +0.406%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.75%E +0.329%K +0.406%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 09:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -3.05%E -0.605%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.01%E -0.803%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -6.89%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -7.85%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -5.93%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.93%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -9.33%E -5.59%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -11.69%E -2.54%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.45%EV -10.96%E -6.68%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -17.45%E -4.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.02%EV -12.04%E -7.43%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -8.81%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.59%EV -12.59%E -7.82%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.61%EV -15.53%E -3.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 26.80%EV -14.64%E -4.55%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-22 10:08 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.45%EV -13.13%E -8.21%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.15%EV -12.65%E -2.78%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.52%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -14.76%E -9.40%K -25.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -13.61%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.18% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.82% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 1.9% | 2026-04-22 10:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.44% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 09:55 |