A Escola das Odds

Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United

Início: 2026-05-05 07:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 0–0 Incheon United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Previsão 44.88%2.23odd justa
EV -4.86%
Vantagem -2.29%
Kelly -4.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.17%44.94%44.78%47.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.062.052.1252.36%48.66%48.78%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Incheon United (Visitante)

Previsão 26.80%3.73odd justa
EV +3.72%
Vantagem +0.962%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescimento +0.048%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.57%26.75%26.85%27.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.153.373.303.8731.75%29.64%30.30%25.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.32%3.53odd justa
EV -3.14%
Vantagem -0.917%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.55%28.31%28.38%29.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.153.4233.33%31.44%31.75%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.30%EV -9.80%E -4.88%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.57%EV +3.72%E +0.962%K +1.30%G +0.048%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.13%EV -4.27%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 07:25
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.85%EV -5.31%E -2.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV +0.239%E +0.064%K +0.087%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -3.14%E -0.917%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 07:14
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -1.37%E -0.372%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.10%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 07:25
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 07:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 07:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:25
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:25
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:25
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 07:19
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 07:25
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 07:24
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 07:24
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 07:22
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 07:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 07:19
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 07:19
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 07:19
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-05 07:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:25
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 06:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:19
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 06:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 06:59
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 06:59
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 06:59
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-05 07:15
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.67%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.78%EV -13.70%E -4.25%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.55%EV -14.46%E -4.79%K -7.16%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-05 07:18
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -7.11%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 06:59
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%EV -11.15%E -5.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-05 07:20
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -15.57%E -4.94%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-05 07:00
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.79%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -15.57%E -4.94%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-05 07:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.3%2026-05-05 07:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%3.1%2026-05-05 07:25
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%3.5%2026-05-05 07:25