L’École des cotes

Daejeon Citizen v Incheon United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 07:30 UTC

Score final : Daejeon Citizen 0–0 Incheon United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prévision 44.88%2.23cote équitable
EV -4.86%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -4.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.17%44.94%44.78%47.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.062.052.1252.36%48.66%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Incheon United (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.80%3.73cote équitable
EV +3.72%
Avantage +0.962%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.57%26.75%26.85%27.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.373.303.8731.75%29.64%30.30%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -0.917%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.55%28.31%28.38%29.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.153.4233.33%31.44%31.75%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.30%EV -9.80%E -4.88%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.57%EV +3.72%E +0.962%K +1.30%G +0.048%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.13%EV -4.27%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 07:25
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.85%EV -5.31%E -2.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV +0.239%E +0.064%K +0.087%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -3.14%E -0.917%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-05 07:14
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -1.37%E -0.372%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -7.10%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 07:25
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 07:15
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.51%E -0.976%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 07:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:25
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:25
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 07:25
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -9.35%E -4.63%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 07:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 07:19
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 07:25
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 07:24
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.19%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 07:24
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.53%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 07:22
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 07:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 07:19
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 07:19
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 07:25
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 07:19
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.87%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-05 07:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 07:25
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 06:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.55%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:19
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 06:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 06:59
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 06:59
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 06:59
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -6.66%E -3.20%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.01%E -3.91%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 07:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.25%E -5.12%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.89%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-05 07:15
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.67%EV -13.39%E -6.94%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.78%EV -13.70%E -4.25%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 28.55%EV -14.46%E -4.79%K -7.16%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-05 07:18
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -7.11%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 06:59
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%EV -11.15%E -5.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.23%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-05 07:20
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -15.57%E -4.94%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-05 07:00
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.79%EV -14.29%E -7.48%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -15.57%E -4.94%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-05 07:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-05-05 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.3%2026-05-05 07:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.16%3.1%2026-05-05 07:25
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%3.5%2026-05-05 07:25