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Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daejeon Citizen (Local)
Prediction 67.65%1.48fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -3.78%
Kelly -13.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.39%67.73%67.63%70.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.351.361.4080.00%74.07%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gwangju FC (Visit)
Prediction 13.25%7.55fair odd
EV +9.29%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.119%
assuming max odds 8.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.34%13.19%13.23%14.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.796.508.2516.67%14.72%15.38%12.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.10%5.23fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +0.482%
Kelly +0.592%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 5.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%19.08%19.14%20.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.654.605.3723.81%21.48%21.74%18.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 67.65%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 13.25%; Draw: 19.10%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.55. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.77%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV +9.29%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.119% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.09%EV -12.06%E -9.27%K -40.19%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV +3.33%E +0.427%K +0.490%G +0.016% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 04:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.71%EV -6.64%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.77I 12.87%NM 12.38%EV +2.93%E +0.378%K +0.433%G +0.013% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.91%EV +2.59%E +0.482%K +0.592%G +0.015% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.09%EV -6.64%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV +2.67%E +0.344%K +0.395%G +0.011% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-14 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.64%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -0.644%E -0.086%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 04:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -0.644%E -0.086%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-14 09:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -0.644%E -0.086%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -12.06%E -9.27%K -40.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -0.644%E -0.086%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 04:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.64%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.57%E -0.504%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.64%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.57%E -0.504%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +0.295%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.29%E -3.78%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 08:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.32%E -5.34%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 04:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.92%EV -5.97%E -4.29%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 08:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.64%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.26%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 04:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 04:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 04:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -8.67%E -6.43%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-17 05:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -17.28%E -3.99%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-16 10:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -7.27%E -1.04%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -17.28%E -3.99%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-18 04:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.47%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.30%EV -9.92%E -1.46%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.47%EV -9.35%E -6.98%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.30%EV -9.92%E -1.46%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.21%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -8.67%E -6.43%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.48%E -0.896%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.67%E -6.43%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 04:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.67%E -6.43%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.67%E -6.43%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.67%E -6.43%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.12%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 04:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.53%EV -10.70%E -8.11%K -33.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-18 04:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.99%EV -11.38%E -8.69%K -36.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.50%EV -13.89%E -2.14%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -6.64%E -4.82%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -8.00%E -5.88%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -15.94%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -8.67%E -6.43%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.87%EV -15.22%E -2.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.40%EV -16.90%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.12%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -17.20%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -8.30%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.70%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.98%EV -17.20%E -2.75%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.32%EV -17.85%E -4.15%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 67.16%EV -15.44%E -12.35%K -61.76%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 13.54%EV -17.87%E -2.88%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.30%EV -16.90%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-10-18 04:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.68%EV -12.06%E -9.27%K -40.19%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.00%EV -19.19%E -3.15%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -19.76%E -4.71%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -10.03%E -7.54%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -20.51%E -3.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -14.03%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.17% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.50% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28% | 1.3% | 2026-10-18 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-10-18 04:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.47% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.39% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.14% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 04:55 |