Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen v FC Anyang

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prediction 47.43%2.11fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%47.48%47.38%51.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.881.912.0557.80%53.22%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Anyang (Visit)

Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV +3.30%
Edge +0.806%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%25.24%25.18%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.713.704.1030.77%26.95%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.37%3.65fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.73%27.28%27.44%28.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.5533.33%29.62%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 47.43%; FC Anyang (Visit): 25.20%; Draw: 27.37%. For FC Anyang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -15.58%E -8.75%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +3.30%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -2.82%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-02 04:19
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.95%EV -16.52%E -9.39%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV +3.30%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -2.82%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 04:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.95%EV -16.52%E -9.39%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV +3.30%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -2.82%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 04:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:30
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-26 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -17.95%E -10.37%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV +0.785%E +0.196%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-02 04:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.10%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -1.74%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.10%EV -3.24%E -1.59%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -1.74%E -0.445%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 04:55
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.99%E -0.778%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 04:54
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.36%EV -3.72%E -1.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.17%EV -3.75%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 04:55
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.22%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.87%EV -3.75%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.91%EV -3.37%E -0.954%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 04:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-02 04:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -6.09%E -3.08%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 04:54
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.09%E -3.08%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 04:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 04:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -8.46%E -4.38%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-02 04:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -10.83%E -5.76%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-02 04:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 04:54
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 04:55
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.56%E -3.33%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 04:54
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 04:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-02 04:55
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.94%E -4.65%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-02 04:55
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.94%E -4.65%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-02 04:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-02 04:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.11%EV -16.05%E -9.07%K -20.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-02 04:54
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -5.14%E -2.57%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 04:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.94%E -4.65%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-02 04:54
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.51%E -3.85%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-02 04:54
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-02 04:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-02 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-02 04:54
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.03%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-02 04:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.08%EV -17.47%E -10.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -11.81%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.52%EV -11.85%E -3.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-02 04:54
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.33%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.40%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-02 04:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.39%EV -13.20%E -7.22%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -14.33%E -4.22%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -12.40%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-02 04:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.38%EV -13.68%E -7.52%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.51%EV -14.84%E -4.39%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.11%EV -12.95%E -4.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-02 04:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.78%E -6.33%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.59%E -4.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-02 04:54
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -2.77%E -1.35%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -16.85%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-02 04:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -9.41%E -4.93%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -16.85%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.40%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-02 04:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.43%EV -14.63%E -8.13%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -18.11%E -5.57%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -17.88%E -5.96%K -8.94%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-02 04:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-02 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-02 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-02 04:54
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-02 04:54
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%2.2%2026-03-02 04:54