Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen v FC Anyang

Kickoff: 2026-09-09 10:30 UTC

Final: Daejeon Citizen 3–2 FC Anyang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daejeon Citizen (Local)

Prediction 62.13%1.61fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -6.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.02%62.03%62.15%63.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5571.43%67.89%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Anyang (Visit)

Prediction 16.60%6.03fair odd
EV -0.415%
Edge -0.069%
Kelly -0.083%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.71%16.62%16.60%17.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.425.406.0020.00%18.45%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.27%4.70fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.469%
Kelly -0.599%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.35%21.25%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.184.154.6025.97%23.93%24.10%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daejeon Citizen (Local): 62.13%; FC Anyang (Visit): 16.60%; Draw: 21.27%. For FC Anyang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.00, with an expected value of -0.415%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.23%EV -8.55%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.53%EV -6.20%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 10:19
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.67%EV -4.32%E -2.80%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.30%EV -1.74%E -0.294%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.03%EV -2.37%E -0.516%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 10:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -4.94%E -3.23%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 06:45
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -4.56%E -0.794%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.16%E -0.469%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 10:14
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.415%E -0.069%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -3.73%E -0.644%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -4.28%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 10:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -3.73%E -0.644%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -4.28%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -4.56%E -0.794%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.48%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 09:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.28%E -0.952%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -4.56%E -0.794%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -9.60%E -2.26%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -4.56%E -0.794%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 10:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:24
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.80%E -4.53%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:00
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.85%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -2.07%E -0.352%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 10:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -4.56%E -0.794%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 10:24
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.83%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 10:18
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.04%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -13.69%E -2.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 09:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.51%EV -8.04%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -11.73%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:55
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.51%EV -8.04%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -11.73%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -8.04%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -10.37%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 10:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.04%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -17.01%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.04%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -17.01%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 10:14
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.04%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -17.01%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 10:14
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.02%EV -8.04%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -17.01%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 10:14
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.03%EV -8.67%E -5.89%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -12.86%E -2.45%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -9.29%E -6.36%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -15.35%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.88%EV -8.54%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 09:55
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.96%EV -9.29%E -6.36%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.96%EV -9.29%E -6.36%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.96%EV -9.29%E -6.36%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -3.73%E -0.644%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.41%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 09:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -12.86%E -2.45%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -11.73%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 10:03
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 10:04
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 10:04
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 10:04
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.12%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.72%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 10:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.71%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 09:49
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -17.01%E -3.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 09:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.29%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -12.03%E -2.27%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 10:05
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.19%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -12.86%E -2.45%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -14.92%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 09:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -11.15%E -7.80%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -15.35%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -12.79%E -3.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 10:24
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.01%EV -11.15%E -7.80%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.62%EV -12.86%E -2.45%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.37%EV -17.05%E -4.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 10:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.46%EV -11.77%E -8.29%K -28.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%EV -10.37%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -10.67%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 10:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.04%EV -13.01%E -9.30%K -32.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.76%EV -15.35%E -3.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.20%EV -18.11%E -4.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-09 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-09-09 10:25
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-09-09 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-09-09 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-09-09 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-09-09 10:25
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%2.9%2026-09-09 10:20