Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 10:30 UTC

Final: Bucheon FC 1995 3–2 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Prediction 21.11%4.74fair odd
EV -0.776%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.53%21.10%21.10%22.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.304.7025.00%23.14%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 52.91%1.89fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.90%52.96%52.90%54.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.721.8362.11%58.20%58.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.762%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%25.93%26.01%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7430.30%28.69%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 21.11%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 52.91%; Draw: 25.98%. For Bucheon FC 1995 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.70, with an expected value of -0.776%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -0.776%E -0.165%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 09:33
Pinnacle🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -1.83%E -0.394%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.31%EV -4.23%E -2.34%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.94%EV -3.37%E -0.906%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 10:25
1xBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -2.89%E -0.628%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.96%EV -6.87%E -3.91%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.39%EV -2.85%E -0.762%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:29
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -2.89%E -0.628%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.40%E -4.23%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 10:09
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.82%E -3.27%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.40%E -4.23%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -5.00%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.43%EV -8.46%E -4.89%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 10:04
Marathon Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -6.05%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.87%E -3.91%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 10:29
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.76%E -2.64%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 10:24
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.93%E -4.56%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:09
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.40%E -4.23%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 10:24
Paddy Power🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -7.11%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -10.05%E -5.91%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -8.16%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.82%E -3.27%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 10:29
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 10:10
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.40%E -4.23%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.40%E -4.23%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 10:09
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.46%E -4.89%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 10:09
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -3.17%E -1.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:29
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.99%E -5.23%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 10:19
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.99%E -5.23%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.60%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 10:19
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:04
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:05
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:04
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:04
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:05
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:04
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -12.16%E -7.33%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 10:04
PlayUp🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -10.28%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -6.34%E -3.58%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -10.28%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.74%EV -8.99%E -5.23%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 10:09
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.51%EV -10.28%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.47%EV -13.75%E -8.44%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -12.98%E -3.88%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-16 10:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.99%E -5.23%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.46%E -4.89%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 10:10
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.46%E -4.89%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 10:10
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.46%E -4.89%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.46%E -4.89%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.73%EV -10.58%E -6.26%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.06%EV -11.16%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 10:18
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.64%E -6.97%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 10:09
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.05%E -5.91%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.44%EV -14.81%E -9.20%K -24.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-16 10:04
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -13.44%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.77%EV -12.69%E -7.69%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.99%EV -12.98%E -3.88%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-16 10:24
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.46%E -4.89%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.52%EV -10.05%E -5.91%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-16 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-16 10:25
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-08-16 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-08-16 10:29
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-08-16 10:10