Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 v Gwangju FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Final: Bucheon FC 1995 0–0 Gwangju FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Prediction 49.96%2.00fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.48%49.99%49.92%52.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.831.9359.52%55.25%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwangju FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.92%4.56fair odd
EV -0.698%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.198%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.29%21.88%21.95%23.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.234.204.5325.64%23.62%23.81%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.20%28.13%28.13%28.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.303.4032.26%30.63%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 49.96%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 21.92%; Draw: 28.11%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.53, with an expected value of -0.698%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.07%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.33%EV -0.698%E -0.154%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.59%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.84%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 10:35
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -4.97%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:54
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 10:49
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:54
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.08%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 10:49
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 10:54
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 10:49
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -9.03%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -9.03%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.35%EV -8.06%E -4.38%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -2.45%E -0.551%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -6.10%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:54
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.51%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.51%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.51%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:49
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.56%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -14.51%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:49
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -9.06%E -4.98%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -4.64%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -9.06%E -4.98%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.27%EV -9.06%E -4.98%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -13.41%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -10.06%E -5.59%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -10.06%E -5.59%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -5.08%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:54
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.06%E -5.59%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.85%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.06%E -5.59%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.22%E -2.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.24%EV -11.06%E -6.22%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -10.12%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -11.56%E -6.53%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.81%EV -12.06%E -6.85%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.80%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -11.44%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -12.56%E -7.18%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.93%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -13.06%E -7.51%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -1.36%E -0.301%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 10:49
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:50
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:49
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -3.55%E -0.806%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.24%EV -13.56%E -7.84%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -12.32%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -12.85%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-08 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.20%EV -16.06%E -9.56%K -23.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -5.74%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.28%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-08-08 10:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-08-08 10:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.52%1.6%2026-08-08 10:55

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