Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 v Gwangju FC

2026-08-08 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Prediction 50.81%1.97fair odd
EV -7.52%
Edge -4.13%
Kelly -9.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.72%50.81%50.81%50.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.8257.47%56.41%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwangju FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.80%4.81fair odd
EV -6.41%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.59%20.80%20.80%20.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.354.354.5023.53%22.97%22.99%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV -7.73%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.39%28.39%28.39%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.163.153.2532.26%31.67%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 50.81%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 20.80%; Draw: 28.39%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.50, with an expected value of -6.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -7.52%E -4.13%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.41%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.73%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -8.54%E -4.74%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.15%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 10:35
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:35
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:34
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:34
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:35
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:34
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:34
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:34
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:34
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.79%EV -10.06%E -5.69%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.54%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 10:35
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 50.81%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.80%EV -10.57%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -10.57%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 10:35
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.74%EV -11.59%E -6.66%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.77%EV -11.61%E -2.73%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 10:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.