The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bucheon FC 1995 v Gwangju FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 05:00 UTC

Final: Bucheon FC 1995 0–3 Gwangju FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Prediction 39.57%2.53fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.753%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.28%39.73%39.51%43.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.252.292.4850.00%44.45%43.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwangju FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.38%3.09fair odd
EV +0.375%
Edge +0.121%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.04%32.28%32.36%33.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.882.853.1037.74%34.72%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.05%3.56fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%27.99%28.13%28.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.213.203.5033.90%31.17%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucheon FC 1995 (Local): 39.57%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 32.38%; Draw: 28.05%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.375%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -20.86%E -10.43%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV +0.375%E +0.121%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -14.44%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-24 04:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -14.92%E -6.94%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-24 04:45
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:50
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:50
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:45
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:50
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.04%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -1.24%E -0.408%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 04:49
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -8.59%E -3.72%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.05%EV -2.54%E -0.844%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.49%EV -7.99%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 04:34
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -3.05%E -1.25%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.11%EV -2.86%E -0.954%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.58%EV -5.47%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 04:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.63%EV -9.39%E -4.10%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -2.86%E -0.954%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.36%EV -7.99%E -2.44%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.64%EV -16.11%E -7.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -2.86%E -0.954%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -14.44%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-24 04:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -12.95%E -5.88%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 04:50
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.82%E -0.520%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 04:45
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 04:45
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.22%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 04:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.64%EV -18.88%E -9.21%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.43%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.93%EV -17.25%E -5.85%K -8.85%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-24 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.28%EV -1.87%E -0.753%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.96%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 04:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.28%EV -1.87%E -0.753%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.96%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 04:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -5.82%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.75%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 04:40
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -5.82%E -2.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 04:35
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 04:40
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.01%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 04:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.72%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.63%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 04:40
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.59%EV -5.43%E -2.27%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.59%EV -8.37%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 04:54
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.34%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 04:34
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.99%EV -8.20%E -3.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.34%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.64%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 04:40
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.99%EV -8.20%E -3.53%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.34%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.64%E -3.69%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 04:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.97%E -4.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.34%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 04:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -12.95%E -5.88%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.34%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 04:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.94%EV -12.95%E -5.88%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.72%EV -10.31%E -3.72%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.04%E -4.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-24 04:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 04:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.03%E -2.10%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 04:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.43%E -2.25%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 04:40
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 04:55
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 04:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 04:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 04:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -8.99%E -3.91%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 04:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.97%E -4.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.24%E -3.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 04:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -12.95%E -5.88%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.96%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 04:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.56%EV -12.16%E -5.48%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.29%EV -11.93%E -4.39%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.15%EV -12.48%E -4.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 04:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.97%E -4.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.58%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 04:39
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -14.92%E -6.94%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -12.58%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-24 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.89%EV -18.88%E -9.21%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.63%EV -14.20%E -5.36%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -14.44%E -4.74%K -7.05%G +0.000%19.3%2026-10-24 04:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-10-24 04:55
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%1.7%2026-10-24 04:50
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-10-24 04:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%2.1%2026-10-24 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%2.1%2026-10-24 04:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.74%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%2.4%2026-10-24 04:55

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