The School of Odds

Bucheon FC 1995 v FC Seoul

2026-07-19 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bucheon FC 1995 (Local)

Prediction 19.67%5.08fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.32%19.67%19.69%20.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.554.604.8825%22%22%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Seoul (Visit)

Prediction 53.57%1.87fair odd
EV -6.25%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.10%53.61%53.50%54.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.721.7563%59%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.21%26.72%26.81%27.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.5932%30%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle4.88I 20.49%NM 19.43%EV -4.03%E -0.826%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.17%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.41%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 12:05
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -5.60%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.33%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:09
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -6.59%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.39%E -4.91%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 10:59
Marathon Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.57%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.94%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:50
1xBet4.66I 21.46%NM 20.11%EV -8.36%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.56%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 11:54
NordicBet4.65I 21.51%NM 19.72%EV -8.55%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -7.86%E -4.57%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 10:50
Betsson4.65I 21.51%NM 19.72%EV -8.55%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.31%EV -7.86%E -4.57%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 10:49
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.54%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 10:53
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.54%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 11:09
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.54%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 11:49
William Hill4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.54%E -2.07%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 11:54
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -11.50%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -10.54%E -6.31%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 11:09
LeoVegas4.45I 22.47%NM 20.30%EV -12.49%E -2.81%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.13%EV -8.93%E -5.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.01%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 10:54
Betclic (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -12.49%E -2.81%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.52%EV -12.14%E -7.40%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.76%EV -12.22%E -3.73%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 10:48
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -17.40%E -4.14%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -10.54%E -6.31%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -14.36%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-12 11:09
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -17.40%E -4.14%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.98%EV -12.14%E -7.40%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.33%EV -11.68%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-12 10:49
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.97%EV -21.34%E -5.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 52.41%EV -14.29%E -8.93%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.62%EV -15.70%E -4.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-12 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.