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Yokohama F Marinos v Shimizu S Pulse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama F Marinos (Local)
Prediction 41.82%2.39fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%41.81%41.88%43.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.2947.62%45.51%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shimizu S Pulse (Visit)
Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.661%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.09%28.77%28.83%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.193.203.4233.90%31.37%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.95%29.42%29.29%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.103.133.2533.33%32.21%32.00%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 41.82%; Shimizu S Pulse (Visit): 28.77%; Draw: 29.41%. For Shimizu S Pulse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.04%EV -4.24%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -1.60%E -0.468%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.81%EV -5.01%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-06 07:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.37%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -5.30%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 07:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-06 07:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-06 07:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-06 07:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-06 07:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-06 07:47 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-06 07:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-06 07:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -12.25%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-06 07:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -12.18%E -5.80%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-06 07:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -12.18%E -5.80%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -15.12%E -5.13%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-06 07:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.