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Yokohama F Marinos v Mito HollyHock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama F Marinos (Local)
Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.40%35.57%35.74%36.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.602.7440.82%38.60%38.46%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mito HollyHock (Visit)
Prediction 34.73%2.88fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%34.72%34.56%35.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.622.7540.00%38.13%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.68%3.37fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -0.895%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.71%29.70%30.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.093.103.3033.33%32.40%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 35.59%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 34.73%; Draw: 29.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%EV -2.48%E -0.906%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.52%EV -6.92%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.03%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.84%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.20%EV -4.49%E -1.63%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -2.06%E -0.624%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 04:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 04:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.00%E -3.44%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.00%E -3.44%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.00%E -3.44%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.00%E -3.44%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 04:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -7.11%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -6.81%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.17%E -5.27%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.17%E -5.27%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.17%E -5.27%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -13.17%E -5.27%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.96%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 04:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -8.18%E -3.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.44%EV -6.92%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 04:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.78%EV -8.18%E -3.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.44%EV -6.92%E -2.58%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 04:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.03%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.70%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.03%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 04:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.03%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.70%E -3.73%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.03%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 04:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -11.03%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -8.66%E -3.29%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 04:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.03%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.00%E -3.44%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 03:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -7.96%E -3.00%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 04:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.93%EV -12.80%E -5.23%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -13.17%E -5.27%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.48%E -3.11%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 04:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.