The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Yokohama F Marinos v Kawasaki Frontale

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 04:00 UTC

Final: Yokohama F Marinos 4–2 Kawasaki Frontale

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama F Marinos (Local)

Prediction 29.78%3.36fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +0.874%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%29.66%29.82%30.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.103.103.4635.09%32.23%32.26%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kawasaki Frontale (Visit)

Prediction 45.41%2.20fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.13%45.65%45.34%49.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.012.042.1054.35%49.64%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.81%4.03fair odd
EV +3.22%
Edge +0.773%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 4.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.29%24.69%24.84%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.654.1629.41%27.16%27.40%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 29.78%; Kawasaki Frontale (Visit): 45.41%; Draw: 24.81%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV +3.02%E +0.874%K +1.23%G +0.037%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.27%EV -8.72%E -4.34%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 03:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -1.74%E -0.527%K -0.756%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -15.99%E -8.64%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -3.23%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 03:55
Pinnacle🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.45%EV -2.04%E -0.619%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.26%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.29%EV +3.22%E +0.773%K +1.02%G +0.033%3.2%2026-11-01 03:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.23%E -0.993%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -6.45%E -3.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -1.99%E -0.505%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 03:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.23%E -0.993%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -6.45%E -3.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -1.99%E -0.505%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 03:55
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.23%E -0.993%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -6.45%E -3.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -1.99%E -0.505%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 03:55
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.23%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 03:53
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.90%EV -9.63%E -4.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.23%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 03:53
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 03:20
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 03:55
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 03:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 03:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.72%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 03:55
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -3.23%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 03:25
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.96%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 03:24
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.21%E -1.97%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -8.27%E -4.09%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 03:55
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.753%E -0.188%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 03:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -5.54%E -2.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 03:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.38%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.61%EV -6.21%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 03:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 03:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -6.00%E -2.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 03:55
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 03:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 03:55
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 03:35
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 03:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.45%E -5.87%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 03:54
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -13.26%E -6.94%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 03:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.64%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.64%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.64%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.64%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.36%E -3.61%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 03:55
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.36%E -3.61%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 03:55
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.36%E -3.61%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 03:55
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.36%E -3.61%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 03:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.36%E -3.61%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 03:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.36%E -3.61%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 03:55
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.36%E -3.61%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 03:55
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 03:19
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 03:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -8.27%E -4.09%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 03:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -8.27%E -4.09%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 03:55
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.91%E -3.37%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.96%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 03:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.96%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 03:20
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -13.26%E -6.94%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-01 03:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.16%E -4.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 03:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -12.16%E -4.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -11.45%E -5.87%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.23%EV -13.65%E -3.92%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-01 03:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.16%E -4.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -11.90%E -6.13%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.02%EV -12.16%E -4.12%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.52%EV -16.44%E -8.94%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.46%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-01 03:34
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -14.25%E -4.95%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -9.18%E -4.59%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 03:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -15.14%E -5.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.65%EV -10.99%E -5.61%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-01 03:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-11-01 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-11-01 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-11-01 03:55
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-11-01 03:55
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%1.0%2026-11-01 03:55
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-11-01 03:20

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