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Yokohama F Marinos v Kashima Antlers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama F Marinos (Local)
Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%28.24%28.27%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.253.4033.33%30.62%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kashima Antlers (Visit)
Prediction 44.75%2.23fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%44.76%44.71%46.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1751.28%49.05%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.97%3.71fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%27.00%27.02%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.403.403.6230.30%29.45%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 28.27%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 44.75%; Draw: 26.97%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.62, with an expected value of -2.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 01:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -12.73%E -6.53%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 01:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -4.72%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.58%EV -2.89%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV -2.35%E -0.650%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 04:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -5.56%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.47%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 04:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.02%E -2.87%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 04:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.92%E -3.33%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.12%EV -9.15%E -4.51%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.70%EV -7.48%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 04:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 04:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.52%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.52%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.52%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.52%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 04:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.94%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.50%E -5.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.18%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.39%E -5.75%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -9.64%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.