The School of Odds
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Yokohama F Marinos v Kashima Antlers

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 10:25 UTC

Final: Yokohama F Marinos 3–4 Kashima Antlers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama F Marinos (Local)

Prediction 28.84%3.47fair odd
EV +6.12%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.140%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%28.81%28.81%30.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.6833.33%31.14%31.25%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visit)

Prediction 41.64%2.40fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.39%41.66%41.65%43.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.212.202.3246.51%45.17%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.85%29.53%29.54%30.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.103.103.3033.33%32.23%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 28.84%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 41.64%; Draw: 29.52%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +6.12%E +1.66%K +2.28%G +0.140%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.56%EV -9.22%E -4.23%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -3.40%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.17%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 10:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -3.40%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.17%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 10:15
BetAnything🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.86%EV -3.40%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -3.39%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.17%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -6.71%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 10:20
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.10%EV -4.55%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.70%EV -3.81%E -1.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.19%EV -2.58%E -0.781%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 10:15
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.84%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 10:20
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.28%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.22%E -1.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 10:00
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.28%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.01%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 10:20
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.28%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.01%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 10:03
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.28%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 09:59
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.28%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.01%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 10:20
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.28%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.28%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 10:20
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -7.72%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -4.22%E -1.84%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -2.58%E -0.781%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 10:20
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.72%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.72%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 10:01
Betclic (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.72%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 10:20
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.72%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 09:25
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.72%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.72%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.17%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.01%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 09:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:00
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:01
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.61%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:01
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -12.05%E -3.95%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.31%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.01%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -12.05%E -3.95%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.39%E -3.81%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.48%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -13.49%E -4.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.30%EV -10.47%E -4.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -9.96%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-07 10:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-07 10:20
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-07 10:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-07 10:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-07 10:15
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-08-07 10:15

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