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Yokohama F Marinos v FC Tokyo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yokohama F Marinos (Local)
Prediction 22.34%4.48fair odd
EV +0.104%
Edge +0.023%
Kelly +0.030%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.54%22.34%22.21%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.094.104.4826.32%24.44%24.39%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Tokyo (Visit)
Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.62%51.00%51.19%51.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.801.8757.47%55.42%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.76%26.66%26.61%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.423.6330.77%29.35%29.28%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 22.34%; FC Tokyo (Visit): 51.05%; Draw: 26.60%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.475. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.480, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.104%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.54%EV +0.104%E +0.023%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.88%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.58%EV -3.44%E -0.947%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 05:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.03%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.62%EV -7.59%E -4.19%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.39%EV -5.83%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 05:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.15%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 05:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.15%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.08%E -3.89%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 05:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.15%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 05:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.15%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 05:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.15%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 05:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.15%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 05:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -7.27%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 05:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -7.27%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.14%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 05:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.39%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 05:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.39%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -8.39%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.34%EV -9.63%E -5.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.49%EV -8.76%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 05:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -8.39%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -11.17%E -6.42%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 05:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.62%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 05:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.62%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -9.12%E -5.13%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 05:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.62%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 05:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 04:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.86%E -3.30%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 04:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.25%EV -15.09%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.77%EV -11.17%E -6.42%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 05:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.