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Yokohama F Marinos v Fagiano Okayama

2026-11-07 05:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yokohama F Marinos (Local)

Prediction 34.88%2.87fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.96%34.97%34.89%35.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.652.7341.67%38.25%37.74%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fagiano Okayama (Visit)

Prediction 36.32%2.75fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.59%36.32%36.25%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.552.6444.44%39.71%39.22%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.85%28.70%28.86%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4233.33%31.42%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Yokohama F Marinos (Local): 34.88%; Fagiano Okayama (Visit): 36.32%; Draw: 28.79%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.42, with an expected value of -1.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.98%EV -4.77%E -1.75%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.17%EV -4.11%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.85%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 05:20
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.82%E -2.15%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 06:58
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.50%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -1.53%E -0.446%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 05:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -6.51%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.59%EV -4.11%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.06%EV -6.51%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.59%EV -4.11%E -1.56%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 07:00
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -7.56%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.56%E -2.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.10%E -0.618%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 04:20
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.56%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 04:15
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.56%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 04:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.56%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 04:20
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.56%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 04:20
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.56%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 04:21
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.56%E -2.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 04:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -8.26%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 04:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -8.61%E -3.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.63%EV -7.74%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -3.83%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 04:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.61%E -3.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 04:20
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.61%E -3.29%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.19%E -3.68%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 05:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -11.05%E -4.33%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.38%E -2.89%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -11.05%E -4.33%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.85%EV -13.55%E -5.69%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 04:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.79%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.82%E -5.34%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-01 05:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -12.79%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -12.82%E -5.34%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-01 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -12.79%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -18.27%E -8.12%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-01 04:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.44%EV -16.28%E -6.78%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.20%EV -14.64%E -6.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.36%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%17.6%2026-11-01 04:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.04%7.1%2026-11-01 05:00
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 34.72%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.18%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.09%16.1%2026-11-01 04:20