Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus

2026-10-31 06:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Prediction 51.27%1.95fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.92%51.17%51.32%52.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.791.801.8761.73%55.83%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nagoya Grampus (Visit)

Prediction 23.65%4.23fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%23.69%23.56%24.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.863.904.0628.57%25.92%25.64%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%25.14%25.12%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.8629.41%27.53%27.78%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vissel Kobe (Local): 51.27%; Nagoya Grampus (Visit): 23.65%; Draw: 25.08%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.86, with an expected value of -3.18%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -6.83%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.73%EV -3.18%E -0.825%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 06:35
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.43%E -0.892%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 06:09
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.45%EV -5.15%E -2.78%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.44%EV -4.00%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 06:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 06:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 06:15
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 06:15
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.78%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 06:15
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.78%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.78%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 06:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.78%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 06:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.07%EV -6.69%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -9.20%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.72%EV -5.69%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 06:10
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.78%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 06:09
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.78%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 06:09
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-25 06:09
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -6.60%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 06:10
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -6.60%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -8.74%E -4.91%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -7.78%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 06:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-25 06:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.36%EV -10.79%E -6.20%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.51%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -8.45%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 06:09
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -11.30%E -6.53%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -17.24%E -4.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-25 06:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -11.81%E -6.87%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -13.69%E -3.75%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-25 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -12.84%E -7.55%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -11.33%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 06:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.43%EV -16.94%E -10.46%K -27.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.95%EV -12.51%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.62%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-25 06:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%7.9%2026-10-25 06:10
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 50.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.63%16.5%2026-10-25 06:10