The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 06:00 UTC

Final: Vissel Kobe 3–1 Nagoya Grampus

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Prediction 48.84%2.05fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.06%48.89%48.83%51.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.901.911.9858.48%52.73%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nagoya Grampus (Visit)

Prediction 24.48%4.08fair odd
EV +4.78%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 4.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.21%24.47%24.47%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.703.654.2829.85%27.06%27.40%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.350%
Kelly -0.480%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.27%26.64%26.70%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.423.453.7030.77%29.23%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vissel Kobe (Local): 48.84%; Nagoya Grampus (Visit): 24.48%; Draw: 26.68%. For Nagoya Grampus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.31%EV -7.69%E -4.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.21%EV +4.78%E +1.12%K +1.46%G +0.070%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.48%EV -7.70%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 05:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.54%EV +0.863%E +0.209%K +0.276%G +0.002%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -1.30%E -0.350%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 05:40
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 05:55
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 05:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -13.55%E -7.66%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 05:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 05:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 05:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 05:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 05:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.26%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 05:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.26%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 05:55
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.26%EV -3.29%E -1.66%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.92%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-31 05:55
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 05:25
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -6.22%E -3.24%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 05:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 05:35
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 05:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 05:40
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.69%E -4.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 05:14
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.63%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
picklebet_au🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 05:35
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 05:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.72%EV -6.71%E -3.51%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.14%EV -5.03%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 05:35
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 05:55
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.20%E -3.79%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 05:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -9.15%E -4.92%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 05:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.18%E -4.35%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 05:25
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 05:40
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 05:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.64%E -5.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 05:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 05:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 49.97%EV -16.48%E -9.64%K -23.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.74%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-31 05:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -3.78%E -1.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.09%E -3.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -3.78%E -1.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.09%E -3.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 05:35
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.09%E -3.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -13.09%E -3.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 05:35
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -4.76%E -2.44%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 05:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 05:35
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 05:35
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 05:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 05:35
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 05:35
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -5.25%E -2.70%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.73%E -2.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -14.32%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 05:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.37%EV -12.08%E -6.71%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -15.54%E -4.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 05:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.06%EV -8.67%E -4.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -17.99%E -5.37%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-31 05:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-10-31 05:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-10-31 05:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.82%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%0.4%2026-10-31 05:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-10-31 05:25
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-10-31 05:40
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-10-31 05:55