The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Vissel Kobe v Mito HollyHock

2026-11-20 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Prediction 65.74%1.52fair odd
EV -6.64%
Edge -4.68%
Kelly -15.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.43%66.04%65.69%67.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4275.19%71.94%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mito HollyHock (Visit)

Prediction 13.08%7.65fair odd
EV +7.87%
Edge +0.954%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 8.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.57%12.79%13.10%15.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.837.008.2517.39%14.63%14.29%12.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.18%4.72fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.59%21.17%21.21%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.294.304.5025.00%23.30%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vissel Kobe (Local): 65.74%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 13.08%; Draw: 21.18%. For Mito HollyHock (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.65. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.25, producing a positive expected value of +7.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.22%EV -6.64%E -4.68%K -15.82%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +7.87%E +0.954%K +1.09%G +0.086%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-13 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.81%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -7.16%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -5.74%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-13 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -7.30%E -5.18%K -17.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.47%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -4.69%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.96%E -5.69%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.47%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.69%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.71%EV -7.96%E -5.69%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -8.47%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -7.86%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-13 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.96%E -5.69%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.47%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.92%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-13 11:58
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.71%EV -8.62%E -6.20%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.47%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -8.92%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-13 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.96%E -5.69%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.47%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.04%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-13 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -7.96%E -5.69%K -19.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.47%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.04%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-13 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -10.59%E -7.79%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -21.55%E -3.59%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -11.04%E -2.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-13 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.19%EV -12.56%E -9.44%K -38.07%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.47%EV -22.85%E -3.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -15.28%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-13 12:05
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.43%EV -10.59%E -7.79%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.00%EV -24.81%E -4.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -15.28%E -3.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-13 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%7.14I 14.01%NM 12.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.17%9.0%2026-11-13 12:00