The School of Odds
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Vissel Kobe v Kashima Antlers

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%40.24%40.15%40.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.4046.51%43.81%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visit)

Prediction 28.65%3.49fair odd
EV -0.585%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%28.67%28.64%29.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.153.4733.90%31.66%31.75%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.15%3.21fair odd
EV -4.98%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.66%31.09%31.21%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.952.953.0534.72%33.88%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vissel Kobe (Local): 40.20%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 28.65%; Draw: 31.15%. For Kashima Antlers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.47, with an expected value of -0.585%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.91%EV -0.585%E -0.168%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.75%EV -4.98%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 04:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 04:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 04:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.07%EV -6.34%E -2.72%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.46%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -8.10%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.98%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 04:00
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 04:00
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 03:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.54%E -2.18%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 04:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 04:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 04:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.46%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.28%E -3.57%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 04:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.50%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.58%EV -7.16%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 04:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -12.62%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -4.98%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 04:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 04:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 04:20
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.65%E -3.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 04:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.10%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 04:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -15.48%E -5.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -8.10%E -2.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 04:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-05-30 04:40