Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe v Kashima Antlers

Kickoff: 2026-09-11 10:00 UTC

Final: Vissel Kobe 2–1 Kashima Antlers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.73%31.78%31.57%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.872.883.0336.36%34.87%34.72%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visit)

Prediction 38.89%2.57fair odd
EV -0.832%
Edge -0.326%
Kelly -0.537%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.22%38.72%38.89%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.5545.45%41.46%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.49%3.39fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.37%29.51%29.54%30.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.103.3033.90%32.28%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vissel Kobe (Local): 31.62%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 38.89%; Draw: 29.49%. For Kashima Antlers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.832%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.55%EV -4.18%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.86%EV -4.33%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.59%EV -4.75%E -1.47%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 16:25
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -4.50%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%EV -5.11%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -4.46%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 09:15
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.69%E -0.815%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -6.40%E -2.16%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:19
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -8.61%E -3.66%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -2.69%E -0.815%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:43
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:17
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -8.61%E -3.66%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.16%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:41
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.71%E -2.28%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 10:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -7.03%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -4.33%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -7.03%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -4.33%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 10:45
BetAnything🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.96%EV -7.03%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -4.33%E -1.76%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -7.66%E -2.62%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -7.44%E -3.13%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -7.44%E -3.13%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -2.69%E -0.815%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 16:46
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.61%E -3.66%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 10:09
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.61%E -3.66%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:49
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:30
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.67%E -2.78%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.52%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.13%EV -8.00%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 10:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -14.44%E -6.57%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 10:05
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.93%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 07:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 19:20
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.61%E -3.66%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 04:15
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.61%E -3.66%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:45
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:19
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:19
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -0.832%E -0.326%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -4.72%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 06:10
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.55%E -4.59%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 14:30
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -13.01%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 19:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -13.01%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -2.78%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -13.01%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -13.04%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -12.50%E -5.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-07 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%2.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%3.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.82%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-09-09 16:46
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%4.0%2026-09-09 14:16