The School of Odds
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Vissel Kobe v FC Machida Zelvia

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 06:03 UTC

Final: Vissel Kobe 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV -0.669%
Edge -0.229%
Kelly -0.348%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.53%34.16%34.04%36.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.632.9241.67%37.82%38.02%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Machida Zelvia (Visit)

Prediction 37.03%2.70fair odd
EV -0.020%
Edge -0.007%
Kelly -0.012%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.20%36.94%37.08%39.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.502.7043.48%39.43%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.95%3.45fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.459%
Kelly -0.650%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%28.91%28.88%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.173.203.4033.33%31.56%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vissel Kobe (Local): 34.02%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visit): 37.03%; Draw: 28.95%. For FC Machida Zelvia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.701. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.700, with an expected value of -0.020%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.53%EV -0.669%E -0.229%K -0.348%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.61%EV -8.91%E -3.62%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.87%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 05:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.42%EV -2.71%E -0.947%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62%EV -5.94%E -2.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 05:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.42%EV -2.71%E -0.947%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62%EV -5.94%E -2.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 06:00
BetAnything🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.42%EV -2.71%E -0.947%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62%EV -5.94%E -2.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 05:55
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.39%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -4.09%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -1.56%E -0.459%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 05:59
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 05:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 06:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -4.75%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -14.83%E -6.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.46%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 05:55
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 05:35
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 05:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 05:35
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 05:30
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.45%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 05:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -7.47%E -2.75%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.39%EV -7.80%E -3.13%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -5.03%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 04:31
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.90%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 06:00
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 04:30
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 05:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 05:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 05:55
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.15%E -3.02%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 05:55
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 04:30
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 04:31
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -5.90%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 05:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.85%E -3.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 05:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -10.53%E -4.01%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 05:50
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -10.53%E -4.01%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -11.13%E -4.64%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -13.14%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-24 05:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 05:35
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.13%E -4.64%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 06:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -10.87%E -4.15%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.13%E -4.64%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.25%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 05:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 04:31
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.14%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.14%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.55%E -4.44%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -7.43%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.14%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 04:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.12%EV -12.57%E -4.89%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.84%EV -11.87%E -4.99%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.04%EV -12.56%E -4.16%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-24 05:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -13.26%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.90%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 05:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -13.26%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.90%E -1.82%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 05:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -13.26%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -9.28%E -3.79%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 04:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -13.26%E -5.20%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -12.98%E -5.52%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -13.14%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-24 06:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -14.96%E -5.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.35%E -2.30%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -15.64%E -6.30%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -1.87%E -0.706%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 05:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -15.64%E -6.30%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -1.87%E -0.706%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -8.80%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 05:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -18.36%E -7.65%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -5.57%E -2.19%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -11.69%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-24 05:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.81%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%0.6%2026-10-24 06:00
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-10-24 05:50
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.19%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%2.3%2026-10-24 06:00
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.48%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.34%2.3%2026-10-24 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.59%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%2.7%2026-10-24 06:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 33.59%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%2.7%2026-10-24 06:00