Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vissel Kobe v Cerezo Osaka

Início: 2026-08-29 10:00 UTC

Final: Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Vissel Kobe (Local)

Previsão 39.10%2.56odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -0.899%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.61%39.19%39.16%41.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.332.352.5044.84%42.84%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cerezo Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 31.65%3.16odd justa
EV +1.29%
Vantagem +0.403%
Kelly +0.586%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.68%31.64%31.56%32.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.912.903.2036.36%34.34%34.48%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.25%3.42odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -0.604%
Kelly -0.862%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.44%29.17%29.28%31.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.29%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Vissel Kobe (Local): 39.10%; Cerezo Osaka (Visitante): 31.65%; Empate: 29.25%. Para Cerezo Osaka (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.16. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV +1.29%E +0.403%K +0.586%G +0.008%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -11.09%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.91%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.08%EV -4.41%E -1.46%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -2.32%E -0.694%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 09:55
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:39
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 08:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -9.29%E -4.00%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.67%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.67%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.26%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.31%EV -6.31%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 09:46
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -4.20%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:40
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 09:38
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 09:50
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:46
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 09:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.38%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.92%EV -7.26%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:35
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 08:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:46
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:46
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:45
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:46
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:46
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -12.81%E -5.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 09:46
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -12.81%E -5.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 09:46
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -12.81%E -5.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 09:46
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 09:35
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 09:46
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:46
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.79%E -3.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 09:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.79%E -3.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.79%E -3.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:50
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 08:45
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 09:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.33%E -3.09%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 09:46
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.33%E -3.09%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%1.0%2026-08-29 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-08-29 09:55
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24%2.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.9%2026-08-29 09:55