Idioma:Español
Vissel Kobe v Cerezo Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vissel Kobe (Local)
Predicción 39.10%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.899%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.61%39.19%39.16%41.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.332.352.5044.84%42.84%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cerezo Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 31.65%3.16momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.403%
Kelly +0.586%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.68%31.64%31.56%32.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.912.903.2036.36%34.34%34.48%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.25%3.42momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.604%
Kelly -0.862%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%29.17%29.28%31.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.3533.33%31.29%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Vissel Kobe (Local): 39.10%; Cerezo Osaka (Visitante): 31.65%; Empate: 29.25%. Para Cerezo Osaka (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.16. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.29%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.08%EV -4.99%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV +1.29%E +0.403%K +0.586%G +0.008% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -11.09%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.91%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.08%EV -4.41%E -1.46%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -2.32%E -0.694%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.04%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.20%EV -9.29%E -4.00%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.67%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -4.59%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -5.67%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.26%EV -2.25%E -0.899%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.31%EV -6.31%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -4.20%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.95%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 09:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.62%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.38%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.92%EV -7.26%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -12.81%E -5.74%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -12.81%E -5.74%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.90%EV -12.81%E -5.74%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.45%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -3.49%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.80%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.02%E -5.34%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.21%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.11%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.79%E -3.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.41%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.79%E -3.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.79%E -3.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.87%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.34%E -3.01%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.33%E -3.09%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.33%E -3.09%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.26%E -4.09%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 2.9% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |