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Vissel Kobe v Avispa Fukuoka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vissel Kobe (Local)
Prediction 55.43%1.80fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -3.39%
Kelly -8.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.01%55.58%55.37%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.651.651.7063.29%60.53%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avispa Fukuoka (Visit)
Prediction 17.77%5.63fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.292%
Kelly +0.354%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 5.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.80%17.74%17.88%18.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.125.155.7221.28%19.52%19.42%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.79%3.73fair odd
EV -0.602%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.222%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%26.69%26.75%27.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.393.403.7131.75%29.54%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vissel Kobe (Local): 55.43%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visit): 17.77%; Draw: 26.79%. For Avispa Fukuoka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.87%EV +1.67%E +0.292%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.02%EV -0.602%E -0.162%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 09:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -9.09%E -5.54%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -1.35%E -0.244%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -5.16%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 09:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -2.24%E -0.408%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.89%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 08:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -6.69%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 08:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -6.87%E -4.09%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -7.57%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.23%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 09:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -6.87%E -4.09%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -8.46%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 08:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.94%EV -6.87%E -4.09%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -8.46%E -1.64%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.55%E -0.986%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 09:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.13%E -2.23%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.91%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 08:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -7.98%E -4.81%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -12.91%E -2.63%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -7.57%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 08:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.80%EV -11.86%E -7.46%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.97%EV -13.79%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -14.27%E -4.46%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-27 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.05%EV -12.41%E -7.86%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.93%EV -13.79%E -2.84%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.01%EV -13.73%E -4.26%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-27 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.01%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -12.93%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.01%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -12.93%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 08:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.01%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -12.93%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 08:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.01%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -12.93%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 08:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.62%EV -12.41%E -7.86%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.98%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.40%EV -15.61%E -4.95%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-27 09:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.79%EV -11.31%E -7.07%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.59%E -3.51%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 08:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.