赔率学院

V-Varen Nagasaki v Nagoya Grampus

开赛时间： 2026-05-03 08:00 UTC

最终结果： V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

V-Varen Nagasaki (主队)

预测 40.23%2.49公平赔率
EV +0.574%
优势 +0.230%
Kelly +0.383%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.10%39.94%40.26%40.97%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.152.302.302.5046.51%43.42%43.48%40.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Nagoya Grampus (客队)

预测 31.48%3.18公平赔率
EV -3.98%
优势 -1.31%
Kelly -1.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
30.29%31.74%31.58%34.36%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.702.882.903.0537.04%34.76%34.48%32.79%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.29%3.53公平赔率
EV -2.68%
优势 -0.780%
Kelly -1.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.44

博彩公司预测分布
27.59%28.33%28.16%29.32%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.213.233.4432.26%31.11%30.96%29.07%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV +0.574%E +0.230%K +0.383%G +0.002%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -15.00%E -5.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 07:25
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.15%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -3.98%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.13%EV -2.68%E -0.780%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 07:51
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 07:55
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -13.43%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 07:45
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.98%E -1.31%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 07:55
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -4.93%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 07:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 07:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 07:55
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 07:55
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 07:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 07:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 07:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -15.00%E -5.56%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 07:35
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.43%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.43%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 07:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.43%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.43%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 07:40
Betclic (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.82%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.08%EV -10.91%E -3.85%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.11%EV -8.62%E -2.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 07:53
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.48%E -4.21%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-03 07:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.48%E -4.21%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 07:55
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.48%E -4.21%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 07:55
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 07:55
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -13.43%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-03 07:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-03 07:55