Language:English
V-Varen Nagasaki v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki (Local)
Prediction 13.72%7.29fair odd
EV -7.37%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.66%13.72%13.72%13.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.406.696.756.7515.63%14.95%14.81%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit)
Prediction 65.69%1.52fair odd
EV -6.06%
Edge -4.24%
Kelly -14.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%65.69%65.69%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.4374.63%71.50%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.58%4.86fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%20.58%20.58%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.494.504.6023.26%22.29%22.22%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: V-Varen Nagasaki (Local): 13.72%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit): 65.69%; Draw: 20.58%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -5.31%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.06%E -4.24%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.31%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.06%E -4.24%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.31%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.37%E -5.23%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.37%E -5.23%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.37%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.34%E -6.77%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.34%E -6.77%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-16 10:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.77%EV -12.18%E -1.90%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.75%EV -11.97%E -8.93%K -35.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.49%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-16 10:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 24.45% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 43.43% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 32.12% | 84.2% | 2026-10-16 13:25 |