La scuola delle quote

V-Varen Nagasaki v Gamba Osaka

Inizio: 2026-04-25 09:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

V-Varen Nagasaki (Casa)

Previsione 26.77%3.74quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -0.409%
Kelly -0.561%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.85%26.77%26.72%27.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.393.403.6831.75%29.53%29.41%27.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gamba Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.34%2.16quota equa
EV -5.01%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -4.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.83%46.40%46.28%48.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.32%50.00%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.90%3.72quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.277%
Kelly -0.380%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.85%26.83%27.00%27.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.383.373.6830.77%29.62%29.67%27.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -1.50%E -0.409%K -0.561%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.71%E -4.42%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -1.02%E -0.277%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 05:55
Marathon Bet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -4.18%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -9.18%E -4.68%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:49
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.52%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 05:49
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -6.40%E -3.17%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.21%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:19
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.40%E -3.17%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:19
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -6.40%E -3.17%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:20
Betclic (FR)3.42I 29.24%NM 26.60%EV -8.46%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -9.18%E -4.68%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.99%EV -9.36%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 09:34
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.01%E -2.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 10:30
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 10:30
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 11:39
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 11:30
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 11:39
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 11:30
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.34%E -3.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.50%E -6.02%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 09:34
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.01%E -2.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 00:29
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.50%E -6.02%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 05:08
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:30
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -7.32%E -3.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:30
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%EV -10.10%E -5.21%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -9.90%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 11:20
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -15.69%E -4.98%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%EV -11.96%E -6.29%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-22 11:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.55%9.0%2026-04-24 00:50