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Urawa Red Diamonds v Yokohama F Marinos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)
Prediction 50.55%1.98fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -6.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.24%50.51%50.54%51.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.821.8758.14%54.98%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)
Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -0.762%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%23.56%23.58%24.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.843.804.1428.17%26.07%26.32%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.87%3.87fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%25.93%25.88%26.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.503.6729.41%28.52%28.57%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 50.55%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 23.58%; Draw: 25.87%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.14, with an expected value of -2.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -5.47%E -2.93%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.56%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -5.47%E -2.93%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -2.39%E -0.578%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.84%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 06:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.99%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.86%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 05:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.15%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -8.00%E -4.39%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.15%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.51%EV -8.50%E -4.70%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.34%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.34%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 22:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -8.15%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 05:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -12.77%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -8.15%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 22:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.31%EV -12.04%E -6.92%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -9.44%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 05:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.24%EV -13.05%E -7.59%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.34%EV -16.30%E -4.59%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-22 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.