Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Urawa Red Diamonds v V-Varen Nagasaki

2026-10-25 06:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -6.36%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -9.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.04%55.08%55.08%55.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7062.50%59.96%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit)

Prediction 20.56%4.86fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.34%20.56%20.56%20.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.494.504.6023.26%22.29%22.22%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.35%4.11fair odd
EV -7.46%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%24.35%24.35%24.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.753.753.8027.78%26.64%26.67%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 55.08%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit): 20.56%; Draw: 24.35%. For V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -5.40%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 06:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 06:05
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.46%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 06:05
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 06:04
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 06:04
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 06:05
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 06:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 06:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 06:04
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 06:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 06:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.31%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 06:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -11.87%E -7.42%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.33%E -3.43%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-20 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 43.26%1.82I 54.95%NM 29.71%2.00I 50.00%NM 27.04%84.9%2026-10-20 06:50