The School of Odds
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Urawa Red Diamonds v Kashima Antlers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Prediction 36.86%2.71fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.69%36.81%36.78%37.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.502.6043.48%40.41%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visit)

Prediction 33.32%3.00fair odd
EV +0.630%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.312%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.86%33.32%33.34%34.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.753.0238.46%36.68%36.36%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.82%3.35fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.97%29.86%29.88%30.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.053.003.2033.90%32.79%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 36.86%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 33.32%; Draw: 29.82%. For Kashima Antlers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.630%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.59%EV -5.64%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.86%EV +0.630%E +0.209%K +0.312%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 04:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.43%EV -8.22%E -3.30%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.03%E -1.77%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.96%E -2.23%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 04:54
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 04:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 04:54
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 04:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.85%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.70%E -2.39%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:54
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -7.12%E -2.82%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 04:54
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -7.12%E -2.82%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.37%E -2.65%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 04:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.85%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 04:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.85%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 04:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.85%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 04:54
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -8.37%E -3.04%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 04:54
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.17%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.03%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 04:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -10.03%E -3.72%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 04:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.63%EV -14.12%E -6.06%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.84%EV -11.03%E -4.13%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.52%EV -11.43%E -3.85%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 04:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.77%EV -15.23%E -6.62%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -11.70%E -4.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 04:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.77%EV -15.23%E -6.62%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -11.70%E -4.41%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 04:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.37%E -4.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 04:54
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.37%E -4.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 04:54
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.85%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 04:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.70%E -3.96%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -12.70%E -4.85%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 04:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -7.85%E -3.14%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 04:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.38%E -5.69%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -13.36%E -5.14%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-28 04:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.