La scuola delle quote

Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol

Inizio: 2026-05-03 05:00 UTC

Finale: Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tokyo Verdy (Casa)

Previsione 28.69%3.49quota equa
EV -3.89%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.99%28.77%28.80%29.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.173.203.3533.33%31.52%31.25%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kashiwa Reysol (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.38%2.42quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -0.994%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.86%41.25%41.35%42.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.232.222.3647.62%44.83%45.05%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.93%3.34quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -0.838%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.86%29.98%29.85%30.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.063.053.2533.33%32.65%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -3.17%E -1.36%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -2.72%E -0.838%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 04:35
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -2.35%E -0.994%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.74%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 04:50
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.72%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 04:04
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 04:05
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.68%EV -8.14%E -3.67%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 04:05
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 03:44
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -6.48%E -2.87%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -6.61%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 04:55
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 28.20%EV -7.62%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -11.04%E -5.13%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.57%EV -8.11%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 04:35
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.72%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 04:55
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 04:35
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 04:19
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -13.10%E -6.24%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 04:35
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.04%E -5.13%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.72%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 04:05
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.90%E -3.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.21%E -2.33%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 03:46
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 04:35
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 04:35
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 04:35
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -4.83%E -2.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 04:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.04%E -5.13%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 03:45
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.04%E -5.13%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 03:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.04%E -5.13%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 03:46
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.50%E -4.10%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -13.10%E -6.24%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 04:05
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.97%E -4.08%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 04:56
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-05-03 04:56